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Serendipity! Unemployment rate falls to 7.8% right before the election

October surprise!  Great news for Obama. Proof that, while it took longer than anticipated, we’re finally really moving in the right direction!

Except, it’s utter bullshit — and it’s bullshit I predicted months ago would take place magically in the month leading up to the election. It’s who these people are.  It’s what they do.

ALG:

Today’s unemployment report met the political threshold set by Obama of being below 8 percent.

To reach this threshold, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics found that an astounding 873,000 people found full-time jobs last month.  This finding contradicts virtually every other economic indicator including those used by the Federal Reserve to take the immediate and unprecedented step to embark on the Quantitative Easing 3, which entails pumping $40 billion of new dollars into the economy every month for the foreseeable future.

Additional evidence that the data used to determine the unemployment rate is not valid can be found in the Bureau of Labor Statistics report on the number of actual jobs created.  This report shows only 114,000 jobs created including an increase of 10,000 government workers.

Either the Federal Reserve, which has its fingers on the pulse of every element of the economy, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics manufacturing survey report are grievously wrong or the number used to calculate the unemployment rate are wrong, or worse manipulated. Given that these numbers conveniently meet Obama’s campaign promises one month before the election, the conclusions are obvious.

None of which will matter, as the activist legacy press — now but a full-blown propaganda arm of the New Left progressives, with few exceptions — will simply report, in its headlines, the astonishing drop in the unemployment without asking how such a thing is possible.  Reports will be framed in the guise of unexpectedly good economic news and suggestive of a now (finally) galloping recovery — all of which I wrote would happen in the month leading up to the election, and all of which I suggested would be based on completely false and / or manipulated data.

Cynically predicting it, however, is one thing.  Seeing our government decide, for political purposes, to engage in such behavior, however, is both astonishing and, for lack of better word, terrifying.

Anyone who pays any attention at all to politics or economic news knows that these numbers are false.  And they’ll be “corrected downward” next month.

But this report isn’t aimed at those people. It’s aimed at the low-info voter or to the person who doesn’t follow politics regularly.  It is a fabrication designed to create an impression — a narrative data point to be mapped onto a false reality constructed out of a mass of knitted perceptions, with the hope that the truth will take some time getting its shoes on, and that actual reality doesn’t have a good enough PR team to get its message effectively into the news cycle.

The uncomfortable truth now is this:  Paul Ryan and Mitt Romney must call this jobs report out for what it is:  a lie, and a cynical political lie, at that.  They need to take the charts from Pethokoukis and others and figure out a way to distill them into digestible data, craft their own corrective counter-narrative, and beat both Biden and Obama over the head with it.  Because the lie works through headlining and soundbites — through the creation of a perception — the response must be rapid, firm, and tinged with the right amount of surprise and disgust.  Were I the Romney / Ryan camp, I’d call a press conference immediately, explain the numbers to the press so that they’d be forced to cover it, and then note in passing that, while the Republican ticket realizes it’s somewhat unprecedented to have to call a press conference to correct a government report, the truth — and the perceptions created when truths are misreported — matters.

More, they need to be willing to excoriate the national media for not looking into how this convenient healing of the economy took place before beginning its happy reporting.

—  Except, well, the Romney camp has a “no whining about the media” policy.  Because again, its best to be seen as free of pettiness than it is to make sure the voters are informed, both of the facts and of the ways in which they are being intentionally and maliciously deceived by both this Administration and its propaganda arm, which pretends itself neutral and objective.

Here’s the thing, though:  without informed voters and a free and independent press not beholden to a particular political Party or ideological movement, the whole thing is a fraud. A simulacrum of a constitutional republic, an imposter that is but a tyranny dressed in a Statue of Liberty costume.

Many of us have known for years now just how far this Good Man and his gaggle of Marxist apparatchiks would be willing to go to retain power and finish the job of “fundamental transformation.” Some of the more “thoughtful” or “sober” Republicans found such talk discomfiting, and continued — and in some cases continue to this day — to pretend that Obama is a garden variety liberal Democrat, and that we are not seeing anything out of the ordinary with respect to the ways of Washington.  We Visigoths and Hobbits Just Don’t Understand How DC Works.  We lack nuance.

And yet it has been us who saw all of this coming, including right up to today, where the media and the Obama team have determined to collude on a lie meant to deceive the American public — all in the hope that that deception fools enough people to swing the election Obama’s way.

We can all look around and tell the economy is horrific and that people are struggling.  The trick of the left is to convince those so struggling that it is increasingly just them, because the unemployment numbers continue to fall.  And if it’s just them, well, then the speeding jobs recovery will likely pass their station soon enough, provided they stay the course and stay patient.

And of course, look forward.

We are reaching that point of no return, people.  Live free or die.

 

22 Replies to “Serendipity! Unemployment rate falls to 7.8% right before the election

  1. JHoward says:

    We can all look around and tell the economy is horrific and that people are struggling.

    I own a small business tied directly to consumer sentiment. So far October’s fallen off a cliff.

  2. JHoward says:

    …to which I’ll add that China is desperate for business. China.

    There is no recovery. If anything the global situation is just pre-end game.

  3. DarthLevin says:

    Jhoward, it’s almost like printing a bunch of money to give to people who do nothing but consume it and don’t “give back” is a bad idea.

    Who’dathunkit?

  4. JHoward says:

    What’s really been going on.

  5. […] Jeff G. continues to be unhelpful. Quoting ALG: Today’s unemployment report met the political threshold set by Obama of being below 8 percent. […]

  6. Blake says:

    Just wait until those layoff notices go out from the defense industries. The unemployment report after the election should be a doozy.

  7. Jrez says:

    Setting aside the annoying “bump in the road” that the rate of “change” doesn’t even eclipse diminished population growth and assuming the same rate of change [-0.3%/40 months], we’ll be back to 5.5% unemployment in . . . . about…27 years. Awesome.

    FORWARD!*

    *because, teh healing.

  8. Squid says:

    One hopes that Romney can at least report that 600,000 part-time jobs don’t really count as a ‘recovery.’ He might even remind his very good personal friends in the media that just a few years ago, they headlined reports like this with words like “McJobs.”

    One also hopes that the revisions to the September numbers happen in advance of Election Day. What’s the usual schedule for revised numbers to be released?

    One further hopes that 600,000 college grads who all suddenly found 16-hour-per-week gigs at the mall will remind their friends that, while not technically unemployed, they’re still stuck in Mom’s basement, driving the 2004 Taurus that Mom gave them when they were in college. I mean, who are you going to believe? Chuck Todd, or 600,000 of your friends?

  9. cranky-d says:

    2004 Taurus? That would be sweet.

    Try 1988.

  10. Pablo says:

    When even MSLSD isn’t buying it…

  11. William says:

    I can just imagine them watching the debate and nervously turning up the “lie” knob more and more as the night goes on.

  12. geoffb says:

    Former GE CEO Jack Welch’s reaction to non-farm payrolls adding 114,000 new jobs in September and the unemployment rate falling to 7.8 percent:

  13. mojo says:

    To lie, prevaricate and obfuscate is their first instinct – it’s who they are, to snag a phrase.

  14. leigh says:

    William, they already have it turned up to eleven.

    This lastest round of shenanigans with the labor numbers is a flat-footed blunder on the part of Team Obama. Has he perhaps forgotten that Romney is an MBA and Ryan is a savant with teh numbers? I think Obama is relying on his voters’ weakness with numbers to carry this ball.

    Pethokoukis charts are a pretty tough slog for people who never made it through high school algebra and know nothing about budgeting and trend lines. Romney and Ryan can break this lie down to its common denominator with words and anecdotes on the stump. They need to make the case that government meddling is the root cause of our monetary woes.

    Just because we still have checks in the checkbook doesn’t mean there is money in the bank to cover them.

  15. antillious says:

    No matter what the report says, there is a large segment of the population who know the real truth. THE ONES WITHOUT JOBS.

  16. newrouter says:

    Mitt Romney responded quickly to the report:

    This is not what a real recovery looks like. We created fewer jobs in September than in August, and fewer jobs in August than in July, and we’ve lost over 600,000 manufacturing jobs since President Obama took office. If not for all the people who have simply dropped out of the labor force, the real unemployment rate would be closer to 11%. The results of President Obama’s failed policies are staggering – 23 million Americans struggling for work, nearly one in six living in poverty and 47 million people dependent on food stamps to feed themselves and their families. . . .

    link

  17. leigh says:

    Mitt’s in Abington, VA talking to coal miners and how Obama has been dogging them.

    They’re liking it.

  18. palaeomerus says:

    This is the exact opposite of Kerry’s “new misery index” .

  19. palaeomerus says:

    Rejoice! Chocloate ration has been raised from three grams to 2.75 grams! Big Brother is generous!

  20. Jeff G. says:

    Well and good, nr.

    He needs to do more than merely issue a statement. He needs to call a press conference. And in the next debates, Ryan and then Romney had better hammer away at the rank cynicism these numbers represent.

  21. […] one thing when conservative bloggers like Donald Douglas and Sister Toldjah and Jeff Goldstein and Patterico think that the numbers are bogus, but when even CNBC questions the numbers, the […]

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