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Roadmap [motionview]

For many, the number 1 issue in 2010 is jobs. What to do?

  • Understand how jobs are created.
  • Correctly diagnose why jobs are not being created.
  • Correctly prescribe a solution.
  • Develop a national consensus that the proposed solution will work.
  • Start to execute the plan.
  • Adapt to changing circumstances and sustain the commitment to and execution of the plan.

At each of these steps, confidence improves, leading to business expansion, leading to job creation. All of the other gimmicky BS that politicians of all stripes spout are 2nd or 3rd order effects relative to the fundamental driver of economic activity: the gestaltic sum of each individual’s perception of the economic future.

  • Jobs are created by individuals who start or expand businesses. People start or expand businesses when they are confident in predicting that following some plan will be good for them, usually meaning make them more money while not putting them at too much risk.
  • Jobs are not currently being created because of the FUD created by complete Progressive governance. Successful entrepeneurs and businesses are smart and predictive and they see that our current financial model is unsustainable, and that the intellectualoids runnning the government element of the economy are busy reading Keynesian entrails and prescribing more leeches, which is not going to work.
  • The correct solution is to restore confidence in America’s financial future. That requires a re-ordering of our federal finances: A long-term commitment to pay off our national debt; a medium-term budget plan to go from deficit to surplus; budgets with actual dollar amount reductions in defense, entitlement, and discretionary spending; a less moronic tax system. Tax increases and more deficit spending are the exact opposite of the correct solution.
  • To develop a national consensus that the plan will work, you need to articulate the plan, run on it, and win. This is not good enough.
  • To start to execute the plan, on Nov 3 you need to gather your new caucus, write a budget, and get every swinging dick to sign off on that budget. Prepare and get out in front of the upcoming all-out assault from the MFM wing of the Progressive Front. If you don’t win (and to win, you have to actually fight) the upcoming budget battles, we’re all doomed, you first.
  • If you stand up, fight, and win the early battles on the budget, the economy will have improved significantly. 2012 will then be about sustaining the recovery and jettisoning the Progressive roadblockers. If you lose, either the actual budget battles or the perception thereof, 2012 will be about old people eating cat food.

84 Replies to “Roadmap [motionview]”

  1. bh says:

    Amen, brother motionview.

  2. Pablo says:

    If you stand up, fight, and win the early battles on the budget, the economy will have improved significantly. 2012 will then be about sustaining the recovery and jettisoning the Progressive roadblockers.

    Well, yeah, except that it will be a Progressive victory if things get right, because Obama is President. Just like Clinton’s awesome economic record created by a Republican Congress, and the Bush Great Recession created by a Democratic one.

    Your thesis should be correct, but we’re too stupid, still. I suspect we might be learning, but I don’t know that we’re doing it that quickly.

  3. Matt says:

    Oh look. Fiscal sense. It just might work.

  4. sdferr says:

    “. . . it will be a Progressive victory . . .”

    Unless maybe Obama can somehow be induced to be seen standing by the side of the road sipping on a slurpee and intermittently heard to shout at economic improvement “I will crush you!”. Well, that, or found golfing every other day out of shear boredom with his job.

    Which inducements might be worth a thought or two, since it’s hard to put anything past ol’ “I won”.

  5. bh says:

    If Obama would want to take credit for fiscal conservatism, we might have that problem. I sorta doubt it though. The key would be in blocking all the stuff he’d want to introduce that he’d then use to claim credit.

  6. alppuccino says:

    Just get Obama vetoing early. He’s mentally unable to change direction.

  7. Matt says:

    That being said, what if “Fiscal responsibility” is our big generational challenge? WW I, WWII, Vietnam, Soviet Russia et ? The whole sucking off the teat nature of our country has only been around 40-50 years. Its not working and we’ve run into the end result to trying socialism, even a little bit. I think there’s still time to fix it. Also, I’d burn the tax code into ashes and require my Treasury Department to draft a 3 page document. That would suck for all the laid off IRS drones but nobody likes them anyway.

  8. Sinister Trampoline says:

    LOL – I once had a wet dream about a Wookie. How crazy is that?

  9. Mr. Happy's Conscious says:

    Even if we have a GOP lanslide and own both houses (and neuter Obama in the process) we still have some big problems with our own party.
    We really do need to get rid of the so-called moderates.
    “Pragmitism” by the GOP is part of what got us into this mess.

  10. Jeff G. says:

    Motionview is the author of this post. Note the brackets in the title field.

  11. alppuccino says:

    ST is like Obama. Thinks that just being there is enough.

    But it’s not.

  12. pdbuttons says:

    mr motionview was what we called
    uncle earl
    as he made his way to the liquor store
    [ we played jp sousa march for a yuk/ as he stumbled’

  13. pdbuttons says:

    withdraw i am isay yoda
    without draws? pants?
    well u’ll just have to find me in the dark
    gruppenfuhrer

  14. alppuccino says:

    Comment by Debbie Fish-Click on 10/15 @ 5:44 pm #

    Why

    You had me at not commenting

  15. Pablo says:

    If Obama would want to take credit for fiscal conservatism, we might have that problem. I sorta doubt it though.

    Have you noticed that the only thing he’s taken responsibility for is Iraq? And that the laughter and caterwauls are less than deafening?

  16. newrouter says:

    every sector of the gov’t should get an individual bill. say 10 appropriation bills. each bill reduces spending by 25%. send them each to the senate. if passed there. let 0! veto them. who’s the obstructionist?

  17. bh says:

    I hear what you’re saying, Pablo. I just think it’d be a much harder pitch for him than presumed even with all the help he’d get from the press.

    On the plus (and negative) side, I don’t think that even taking all the right fiscal steps will turn things around in time for him in 2012 regardless.

  18. Sinister Trampoline says:

    The force is strong with me. I mean, I can invent new names and use new IPs every time I comment.

    Like a Jedi!

  19. Sinister Trampoline says:

    I hate to admit it, but sometimes I dress my dog up in ear muffs and a gold bikini and pretend he’s Leia when he’s licking peanut butter off my nads.

    It only gets weird if I call him Max, though. Or open my eyes.

  20. bh says:

    This is one sad troll.

  21. bh says:

    Can’t even get the timeframe in the name jacking comment right. Sad.

  22. Sinister Trampoline says:

    Stop paying attention to that Frisch chick. Notice me!

    Aren’t I nasty enough for you people?

    Christ.

  23. bh says:

    Imagine trolling being your idea of excitement. Sad.

  24. geoffb says:

    I’m with alppuccino in #6. Obama will likely veto and condemn it all. The Congressional Dems left will block most overrides. Those vetoes and votes will frame the 2012 election.

  25. geoffb says:

    The frame.

  26. Sinister Trampoline says:

    Yes, it’s Friday evening. And yes, I’m spending it trolling the blog of a guy I insist is an idiot. And true, I’ve decided to namejack him — because my other fifty identities just aren’t working for me tonight. Just not feeling them, you know?

    But that doesn’t make me sad.

    And I’ll throw an anonymous barb from behind a proxy IP at anyone who dares say otherwise!

  27. newrouter says:

    pass a spending bill with funding for the white house operations at 1933 levels. do it for the new fdr.

  28. newrouter says:

    because my other fifty identities just aren’t working for me tonight.

    no just one identity asshole

  29. Sinister Trampoline says:

    You wouldn’t know if from my so cool online demeanor, but I often type these comments with a Boba Fett figurine buried helmet-first in my squeakhole.

  30. Big Bang Hunter says:

    – That could explain why all your comments are for shit.

  31. Sinister Trampoline says:

    Since moving back home, hiding my kiddie-porn collection from mom has been my biggest challenge.

    [Good for you, ST. I wondered how long it would take you to head into Frisch territory. Kudos! – JG]

  32. Big Bang Hunter says:

    – And with that – TROLLHAMMER TIME!

  33. Bob Reed says:

    I agree with al at #6, totally. It’s an especially effective way of framing issues if you have the votes to override said veto.

    Just a couple of general notes. Notwithstanding what I sense as disdain for the GOP pledge, a document I’ve repeatedly said serves as a good departure point. It’s not filled with “wonkery” to put the previously uninvolved, low information voters off, and will serve as a handy checklist to hold team R’s feet to the fire.

    My hope is they surpass that simple agenda in accomplishments and move on to some of Mr.Ryan’s more bold proposals to overhaul entitlements. Only Nixon could go to China, and if Obama thought it may benefit him, well, only another communist could get away with reforming the New Deal/Great society entitlements-oh, and let’s not forget about medicare part D…

    And on the spending cuts, I’m biased, of course, but feel that outside of reductions in war spending our military budget needs to be left pretty much untouched save for waste reduction. The reasons are pretty straigtforward; an ever growing Chinese fleet (can we finally get that 600 ship Navy, including ABM adapted Aegis cruisers?), imminent Iranian adventurism, the need to increase the F-22 buy from 187 to at least 400, in order to replace the more than 800 F-15’s, as well as the R/D of the next generation of weaponry…

    For years, in actual percentage of national spending, the defense budget has decreased dramatically; while our enemies, old and rising, are spending more. The price of freedom is eternal vigilance; at home here, and abroad.

    We can’t afford to be as weak as the Euro-socialists have become.

  34. Sinister Trampoline says:

    And by “squeakhole,” I naturally mean “Death Star-fish.”

  35. newrouter says:

    I naturally mean “Death Star-fish.”

    being stupid is the new gay

  36. Bob Reed says:

    OK, this is OT, but it’s too good not to post:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3NMA0MyaA0

    Ron Butler, “I am the very model of a modern US President”, sung to a Gilbet & Sullivan tune.

    Pretty effin’ funny, and that guy does such a good Obama it’s scary!

  37. newrouter says:

    2 party state: vile or evil

  38. Sinister Trampoline says:

    I just need to keep parroting talking points in clever ways.

    Sooner or later, someone will notice this and praise me for the way I dutifully troll right wing sites, even giving up my weekend evenings to do so!

    I’m nothing if not dedicated.

    (Well, except, you know, undesirable to the opposite sex, and with no friends to speak of…)

  39. Bob Reed says:

    OK, maybe it is the norse god who won’t be named; he was fond of using other people’s nicks…

    But so was one of those guys from SEK’s commentariat, as I recall, by his own admission.

  40. Ric Locke says:

    Sorry. Fiscal/monetary/economic measures are important, even vital, but they won’t do much unless something else is done, for the same reason the stimulus didn’t work.

    Regulation.

    As it stands, before you can do much more than fart you have to have permission from at least three Feds, in quadruplicate, signed, countersigned, notarized and stamped — and one of the Feds is on vacation, the official empowered to countersign the order hasn’t been appointed since the Bush I administration, the stamp has one of the points chipped off the seal, and the two Feds left are acutely conscious that if they say “No!” not much will happen, but if they say Yes and the applicant screws up they’ll be punished.

    This is why the stimulus did nothing much. It could’ve been fifty trillion dollars, and would still have vanished into that morass. There is no possible number of tanker trucks that would suffice to irrigate the Ru’ub al-Khali.

    Just as an example: Natural gas is cheap and low-polluting, but the constant-dollar cost of getting it from the Gulf Coast to the people likely to freeze is about to double or worse, because the pinpricks of “pollution” caused by the engines used to pump it are intolerable to the EPA, so everything has to be replaced — and the new stuff, being new, is gonna break more often than the old familiar systems did, despite everything Dale the Cajun and his fellows can do. Multiply that by EVERY.SINGLE.ONE of the technological systems that keep us alive, and you might have some picture of the problem.

    Until and unless we figure that out, nothing we do with money will make enough difference to notice.

    Regards,
    Ric

  41. motionview says:

    That’s a tough one for me too Bob Reed. It is primarily included because I think politically the only way to cut anything is to cut everything. I certainly accept that ultimately the missions drive the costs. However, the way we fund our military is an insane mish-mash of 200 years of good people trying to do the right thing, dictated to by corrupt/ill-informed/pork-barrel politicians. We can get a grip on our defense/intel/black budget spending and still achieve our defense objectives.
    We have to look at our national security in-toto, and IMO unsustainable economics is an existential threat.

  42. geoffb says:

    Fondly remember Zork? Try the new dOrk.

  43. Jeff G. says:

    Mind your business, BBH.

  44. Sinister Trampoline says:

    STOP LOOKING AT ME!

  45. Sin loving Tramp Aline says:

    – I’ll be your huckleberry.

  46. SDN says:

    Ric, a loser pays tort system wouldn’t hurt. If nothing else, we might manage to bankrupt Greenpeace.

  47. Sinister Trampoline says:

    Again, I’m not gay. But I’d eat Jabba the Hutt’s ass like I was going after a jelly donut.

  48. Bob Reed says:

    You’re right motionview, unsustainable economics is an existencial threat, the CJCS said as much.

    http://www.jcs.mil/newsarticle.aspx?id=360

    Perhaps removing congressional pork would help the process, but as far as the mossion? We need to be ready for all contingencies.

    As of late our entire footing seems to have shifted to focusing on assymetrical conflicts, counter-terrorist, and counter-insurgency contingencies, which is fine. But, we still need to be ready for higher level conflicts. We can’t become like the Russians, in a position where if it isn’t a much weaker foe, their decision tree leads directly to nuclear options.

    We need to be able to conventionally face down the Chinese on the open ocean, and with the help of our Indian allies, and our advanced technology, on land as well.

    Yes, defense reductions must be on the board, politically, but signifigant ones can be achieved by eliminating waste, and being more competitive in contracting; i.e. no union prefernces and do business with more smaller contractors as opposed to the usual suspects…

  49. Sin loving Tramp Aline says:

    Aw common Deb. Come out and play.

  50. bh says:

    I like the idea of including aggressive deregulation.

    It’s the obvious but often forgotten element.

  51. motionview says:

    Well, yeah, except that it will be a Progressive victory if things get right, because Obama is President. Just like Clinton’s awesome economic record created by a Republican Congress, and the Bush Great Recession created by a Democratic one. ~Pablo
    MFM meme control is not what it used to be, and deteriorating rapidly. I think as non-leftists we have to stop understanding quietly “what bullshit framing” and start loudly proclaiming the truth, explaining the framing bias, and going on the attack against the big lies the left propagates relentlessly.

  52. Bob Reed says:

    Why does this jackass insist on sockpuppetting Jeff?

    Your a vile person, whoever you really are, to be engaging in this behavior at this juncture.

    Cowardly honorless bitch. Post under your own name. Sac up, visit Jeff and spew your bile in person; I dare you.

    Man up, you pussy.

  53. Sinister Trampoline says:

    That’s right, I just referred to Jeff’s son as “tragically retarded”. Frisch and I have that kind of blackness to our souls in common.

    What are you all going to do about it? I’m like a ghost. I am a binary superhero.

    Jedi.

  54. Big Bang Hunter says:

    – She doesn’t dare speak without hiding behind a fake name. Her speed is picking on kids and old women.

    – She’s fat, repulsive, and on her last leg.

  55. Bitter Clinger/Sinister Trampoline/moneymen/Ultima Ratio/Godfrey Daniels/atlee/Thanatopsis/RD/gus/etc, says:

    Thou shalt not bear false witness.

    Me, on the other hand,well … let’s just stick to you, okay?

  56. newrouter says:

    What are you all going to do about it? I’m like a ghost.

    no just evil in a progg way

  57. newrouter says:

    tragically retarded

    harry reid, chris coons

  58. newrouter says:

    babs boxer, hinchley allan the demorat party

  59. serr8d says:

    What Bob Reed said.

    I can’t seem to place this one. Effrontery but with a self-effacing twang. I’d guess s/he has a problem with personal physical deformities; likely very much overweight. If it had some residual humor, it might be worth taming and keeping. A shame; it’s burned itself out quickly in it’s own acridity.

  60. motionview says:

    Those type of cuts in 51 sound right to me Bob Reed.

  61. Bob Reed says:

    Well, now that there’s 2 of us, motionview, the next stop is a movement!

  62. Bob Reed says:

    That’s the tool that had no idea we had a federal defecit! After being in congress for nigh on 20 years! And then lost it on a reporter for asking about an earmark!

    What an effin’ clown. I hope one of his cronies is prepared to gove him a job after the people of his district send him home.

  63. motionview says:

    Now that we have defense solution outlined Bob Reed what about the entitlement element?

  64. geoffb says:

    18 more days of the trolls getting stranger and stranger while the Dem Congresscritters start losing it more and more publicly.

    Pass the popcorn.

  65. bh says:

    I hear you, Geoff.

    It really is fun to watch them loose their shit.

  66. bh says:

    Or lose. Either way.

  67. sdferr says:

    Watching this loon lose it is one thing (and kinda funny), but where he hides behind an anonymizer and fake names think how things stand within the poor bastards at Politico who have to try to maintain some semblance of calm and dignity as their heroes melt down. fuckers

  68. geoffb says:

    Night guys.

    sdferr,

    I’m trying to write out something pertaining to that thread several days ago that drifted into the question of what is a government. I find the question of interest.

  69. dicentra says:

    I just lost a comment to the spam filter.

    Oh well.

  70. Seth says:

    In short, confidence creates jobs. Government interference erodes confidence. Yes, it’s an oversimplification.

  71. dicentra says:

    Ha! Here’s a stray Tweet by the guy that plays the genius guy on Criminal Minds: “No offense to modern technology but my 30 year old diesel station wagon gets better gas mileage than most hybrids and has 0 smug emissions.”

  72. Mr B says:

    Speaking of creating jobs. NASA is helping create climate change advocates?

    http://disccrs.org/

  73. Caecus Caesar says:

    I once lost my heart in San Francisco.

    High on a hill, was I.

  74. Lamontyoubigdummy says:

    donald, I’ll see your Gaelic Football (geez,that’s worse than the “leaflet of famous Jewish athletes”), and raise the funny one Obama’s Commodore 64 RPG.

  75. geoffb says:

    Lamontyoubigdummy, see #45.

  76. donald says:

    I beleive there’s something special in Iowahawk’s pipe.

    Whew! Why didn’t they say that a month ago?

  77. donald says:

    You know what I mean.

  78. sdferr says:

    An argument for the greatest President in the last 100 yrs. Probably not who we’d have guessed three years ago.

Comments are closed.