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Losing more slowly, redux

Settled science?

If so, I guess any political agitation against, say, cap-and-trade, is rather selfish and, you know — unhelpful.

— That is, unless you all can spin a more convincing counter narrative to help save classical liberalism from what is becoming a relentless pragmatism. Go on. Give it a shot. Wow me.

(thanks to Stephanie)

82 Replies to “Losing more slowly, redux”

  1. That guy from Futurama is inexorably drifting on the same breeze that swept away all those tiny grass-colored gasbags (the ones inhabited by the non-snake reptilians).

  2. dicentra says:

    Why am I not surprised that Pat buys the “consensus” about AGW.

    Moron.

    CO2 has never driven global climate during the earth’s 4.5 billion year history.

    All you have to ask about the AGW hoax is qui bono and there’s your answer.

  3. Brain fart. They’re not gasbags, they’re pigskins.

  4. dicentra says:

    Or is it cui bono?

    Either way…

  5. All you have to ask about the AGW hoax is qui bono and there’s your answer.

    That Qui guy needs to shut up and sing.

  6. dicentra says:

    Pat’s going the way of LGF, you say?

    Wouldn’t surprise me. Some people can’t stand up long under peer pressure.

  7. Darleen says:

    I hate it when scientific questions become political issues

    well, then, maybe the Scientists who made AGW a political issue, including fudging numbers, “hockey sticks”, campaigning to keep dissenting views from peer reviewed journals – all in the name of sweet, sweet Proggie government lucre should have stuck to actual science.

    — because I think politics causes people to lose rationality

    heh

  8. SDN says:

    I notice that Pat never defines what he considers a reliable scientist. So when someone shows up and says “I’ve been developing software for 30 years and these computer models are so badly coded that I could eat a ream of paper and puke a better one!” he can say, “But you’re not a scientist. Go away!”

    Dude’s not serious. I guess he figures that Assistant DAs will always have plenty to do with all the new laws needed for AGW enforcement.

  9. happyfeet says:

    Meg Whitman opposes Prop 23 she lurvs her some green jobs – California’s future has never looked brighter

    but don’t call her a whore

  10. LTC John says:

    #8 – via The Green Police?

  11. dicentra says:

    Look, Pat is smart enough to know that “Appeal to Authority” is a logical fallacy, isn’t he?

    Further, cui bono can be clarified thus: the TV meteorologists whose paycheck comes from a commercial source are almost universally against AGW, whereas the academics who have to compete for grant money tend to be for it.

  12. happyfeet says:

    but you want you can *think* it

  13. GaryM says:

    So, whats supposed to happen with all the taxes collected from cap and trade, I ferget?

  14. winston smith says:

    No, she’s a fool, and “Iceberg’ Murphy* ‘s 90K a month advice, doesn’t apparently include distancing one’s self from such a daft project. However, do we want to return to the 8 track tapes world of Moonbeam Brown

    * refers to a statement he made in Time Magazine, where he suggested any opposition to Obama’s initiatives, would doom the GOP, because of demographics

  15. Rob Crawford says:

    Look, Pat is smart enough to know that “Appeal to Authority” is a logical fallacy, isn’t he?

    HAHAHAHHAAHAHAHAHQHAHAHAHA!!!

    Seriously — funniest thing I’ve read in a LONG time.

  16. Entropy says:

    Oy vey. Apparently he thinks science works the same way he thinks language does – on concensus.

    I guess that means antibiotics and sterile surgical tools must be consigned to the ash heap of history because there was clearly an overwhelming concensus on their use being nonsense.

    Infections are very clearly caused by bad air and/or miasmas.

    Space is not really a vacuum ether, it’s only a vacuum ether on average.

  17. Alec Leamas says:

    Look, Pat is smart enough to know that “Appeal to Authority” is a logical fallacy, isn’t he?

    Some here have alleged that he is an assistant District Attorney, which means that he is an attorney by training and trade, which also means that in his day to day life “expert opinion evidence” is the coin of the realm.

    Of course, in litigation each side gets to see the other side’s expert’s data, and gets to depose and cross examine the other expert on the expert’s theory, and gets to proffer its own expert – none of which has actually happened in the Global Warming non-debate.

  18. cranky-d says:

    Well, he’s consistent anyway, and he is following a trajectory that shouldn’t surprise anyone.

    He is not of the body.

  19. Jeff G. says:

    How many leaders of the conservative blogosphere are following a similar trajectory?

  20. Rob Crawford says:

    How many leaders of the conservative blogosphere are following a similar trajectory?

    None. Once the arc begins, they quickly lose any “leader” status.

  21. Jeff G. says:

    Really, Rob?

    I’d beg to differ.

  22. cranky-d says:

    I only regularly read two blogs, one being this one, so I cannot say where they are all going. I think some have followed his line of reasoning because it fits with their reasoning, but this latest event might dislodge some of his compatriots.

    I cannot be sure how many internet destinations (other than this one) are written and populated by people who are very intent on really figuring out things for themselves, rather than simply accepting things on authority given it’s an authority they like already.

    The pragmatists have been ascendant for a while, but I think they are going to lose some clout, because pragmatism is so yesterday. Principles are on the rise.

  23. SDN says:

    cranky, what’s possibly starting to sink in is that principles ARE pragmatic. If for no other reason than they allow one to spot the snake-oil salesmen.

  24. cranky-d says:

    When I speak of pragmatism, I’m thinking specifically about the idea of voting for RINOs because they can win, even though I disagree with too many of their positions, rather than voting on principle for a candidate who much more closely matches my belief structure, though she is more likely to lose.

    Perhaps I don’t understand the word properly.

  25. geoffb says:

    Who decides what constitutes a leader? And why do they do so?

  26. Rob Crawford says:

    Really, Rob?

    I’d beg to differ.

    That’s your right, but for myself, I don’t follow “leaders” who march towards tyranny. As for others, I don’t see Charles Johnson pulling much weight on the right — or the miniscule anti-jihadi left — and I can’t see Patterico keeping much more than a rump audience once his conversion gets well under way.

  27. Jeff G. says:

    I think maybe you’re missing some of the more subtle stuff.

    There’s more to the pw hatred than the fact that I’m a whiny asshole.

  28. geoffb says:

    I thought it was because you’re right and the “whiny asshole” is a typical projective attack.

  29. geoffb says:

    But I’m just another anonymous stupid internet person so there is that.

  30. Rob Crawford says:

    I think maybe you’re missing some of the more subtle stuff.

    Probably. I’m not a particularly astute person, when it comes to social cues.

    There’s more to the pw hatred than the fact that I’m a whiny asshole.

    You challenge their assumptions, ask them to think. Lots of people don’t want to do anything of the sort — some of those people branded themselves as “conservative” and some of those people are only “conservative” to the extent it is cost-free.

    *shrug*

    Long ago I decided to never trust the allegiance to liberty of anyone who lives in a big, coastal city. The social pressures to go along with the “common wisdom” are too strong for most people to put up with, and you get squishes and glad-handers and go-along-get-along types. That Patterico is going soft and will likely “grow” like a Republican Congressman from the mid-80s is not that big of a shock.

  31. sdferr says:

    Who decides? Evidently the loudest dish-crashingly-bangiest bellowing Bull in the China Shop.

  32. Slartibartfast says:

    But you’re not a scientist. Go away!

    Which invites the question: is a computer scientist someone automatically worth listening to, in the matter of climate? Like, say, Tim Lambert?

  33. Roddy Boyd says:

    As I read his post, he simply wanted convincing for the Anti-AGW hypothesis.
    He may have a sincere opinion that science is truly settled on this matter, like the theory of gravity or the broader strokes of evolution, but is seeking out informed links to argue otherwise.
    There are probably two lines where he has opened himself up to the most criticism: That science is settled on the matter, and the typical “If a scientist says it, it must be true” trust.
    The safety of authority–or the authority with which you identify most– in complex matters is always the safest harbor.

  34. Roddy Boyd says:

    In that last, I meant to write “the safety of authority–or the authority with which you identify the most–in complex matters always SEEMS like the safest harbor.”

    Sorry.

  35. SDN says:

    Slart, he may not know beans about climate, but he can look at the source code and the data set and tell you something about whether the computer model does what is claimed. If there’s a lime of code telling the computer to cut in half any entries showing temperature drops, that tells you something right there.

  36. SDN says:

    That would be “line of code”.

  37. He may have a sincere opinion that science is truly settled on this matter

    Then he’s started out stupid rather than merely ignorant. The challenges to the AGW/AGCC/AGCD “consensus” have been around since the beginning; after all this time it takes a true hammerhead to hold to the “settled science” position in the face of all that’s been exposed.

  38. cranky-d says:

    There is no such thing as “settled science.” The very idea of it is ridiculous. Science involves a continual struggle to know more and to advance closer to the truth of things, as best as we can see them. I question the thinking power of anyone using that trope.

  39. Jim in KC says:

    He’d be better off if he just thought it through for himself.

  40. dicentra says:

    That would be “line of code.”

    I liked “lime of code” better. It sounds cool and refreshing.

  41. He’d be better off if he just thought it through for himself.

    He never learned how.

  42. Jim in KC says:

    He never learned how.

    True dat. The effort would do him good, though.

  43. (Decisions, decisions. Should I keep ragging on the guy from Futurama, or just let it go? Ah, foxtrot it.)

    Letting the magic smoke out of his cnium would do him good?

  44. Timely says:

    […] Pragmatism!* Posted by Jeff G. @ 9:42 am Comments (26) | Trackback SHARETHIS.addEntry({ title: "Timely", url: "https://proteinwisdom.com/?p=21825" });   […]

  45. Jeff G. says:

    Well, this better explains his backing of Mike Castle.

    Christine O’Donnell would help kill Mother Earth.

  46. Slartibartfast says:

    he may not know beans about climate

    I’d trust Tim Lambert if he said it was a nice, warm day in Central Florida, but I’d quickly verify by walking outside to see for myself.

  47. irongrampa says:

    Sick and fucking tired of the subject of AGW.

    Warming and cooling oof the planet has occurred frequently–a cursory look at the evidence will bear that out. So denying these natural occurrences is pretty stupid.

    The part about humans affecting warming OR cooling in anything but an extremely localized setting shows monumental arrogance.

    IMHO, adapting to the particular seems more logical than blaming you and me.

    Or should I just go over in the corner and be quit?

  48. Pablo says:

    This is relevant.

    Hal Lewis: My Resignation From The American Physical Society – an important moment in science history

    When I first joined the American Physical Society sixty-seven years ago it was much smaller, much gentler, and as yet uncorrupted by the money flood (a threat against which Dwight Eisenhower warned a half-century ago).

    Indeed, the choice of physics as a profession was then a guarantor of a life of poverty and abstinence—it was World War II that changed all that. The prospect of worldly gain drove few physicists. As recently as thirty-five years ago, when I chaired the first APS study of a contentious social/scientific issue, The Reactor Safety Study, though there were zealots aplenty on the outside there was no hint of inordinate pressure on us as physicists. We were therefore able to produce what I believe was and is an honest appraisal of the situation at that time. We were further enabled by the presence of an oversight committee consisting of Pief Panofsky, Vicki Weisskopf, and Hans Bethe, all towering physicists beyond reproach. I was proud of what we did in a charged atmosphere. In the end the oversight committee, in its report to the APS President, noted the complete independence in which we did the job, and predicted that the report would be attacked from both sides. What greater tribute could there be?

    How different it is now. The giants no longer walk the earth, and the money flood has become the raison d’être of much physics research, the vital sustenance of much more, and it provides the support for untold numbers of professional jobs. For reasons that will soon become clear my former pride at being an APS Fellow all these years has been turned into shame, and I am forced, with no pleasure at all, to offer you my resignation from the Society.

    It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. (Montford’s book organizes the facts very well.) I don’t believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.

  49. Jeff G. says:

    That’s unhelpful. I need more proof.

  50. Dave in SoCal says:

    That’s unhelpful. I need more proof.

    And more links. Gotta have more links. If we don’t provide a link, how are you supposed to take our arguments seriously?

    That post was the very definition of “exercise in futility”. Patterico’s stance going in was that “There is consensus that AGW is a given” and it was up to his readers to convince him why it wasn’t so. And unsurprisingly, none of the arguments (even ones with links!) seemed to sway him against “the consensus”.

    I was reminded of this exchange from ‘Raiders of the Lost Ark’:

    Maj. Eaton: We have top men working on it now.
    Indiana: Who?
    Maj. Eaton: Top… men.

  51. Jeff G. says:

    I actually laughed out loud at the tenor of the post.

    And that’s despite its predictability.

    Here

  52. cranky-d says:

    I’m sorry, but the opinion of the one “scientist” in that video will not sway me. I demand more proof.

  53. cranky-d says:

    I’ve waited a good 30 seconds and you don’t have a response. Okay, the subject is closed, and AGW is real.

  54. Jeff G. says:

    See also.

    Still, lots of people who receive patronage money and are by all accounts Good Men say climate change is a real problem, so that’s good enough for me. So long as when I then turn around and talk about language, they defer to me.

    Kind of a professional courtesy, you see. Keeps out the riff raff.

  55. Jeff G. says:

    And by all means, keep the proles from things like this (which, let’s face it, are numerically unpersuasive, when juxtaposed with the consensus view. Might makes right!).

  56. bh says:

    I checked it out again. I nailed it the first time. That thread is the stupid seminar class that everyone warned you about.

  57. cranky-d says:

    The best argument I’ve seen is from a British man who showed, under the assumption that AGW is real and their data is completely correct, that it would destroy the world’s economy to realize a 1 degree drop in temperature over the next hundred years. I wish I could remember his name.

    In other words, so what? There is not a heck of a lot we can do about it, other than cripple our economies.

  58. bh says:

    I wonder if he’s agnostic about the utility of Keynesian attempts to boost AD.

    Has he thought through all the arguments and read all the relevant literature? I’d hate to think he’s taking an uninformed position one way or the other.

  59. happyfeet says:

    the odds of nature conforming precisely to marxist ideology was always probably kind of a long shot

  60. Jeff G. says:

    Behold!

    Still, I’m skeptical of the skeptics. Academics have spoken. Consensus is what it is — and what the majority of people think something means is no doubt what it does mean, from a pragmatic standpoint. Truth is manmade. And so it is all relative.

    Am I right?

    Hoorah!

  61. LBascom says:

    I still say making us buy mercury laden light bulbs was a commie plot.

  62. Jeff G. says:

    More that is of little interest to Important Men Who Recognize Who The Real Experts Are and Defer To Them.

  63. geoffb says:

    I like graphs.

  64. newrouter says:

    odds of nature conforming precisely to marxist ideology

    relies on the pull of a trigger(no not jigger) or the push of the red button

  65. newrouter says:

    -igger words are off limits

    link

  66. Stephanie says:

    I thought Pat’s assertion of a “virtual religion on BOTH (emp mine) sides” was a tell as well. It’s a short march to proggy goodness that he’s begun weighing the cargo cultists and the anti-cargo cultists as equally fervorous and kookie-kult-krazy in their claims. That’s multiculti POMO claptrap at its bare root form. All religions are equally OK. All ethnicities are equally OK. And now he says both sides of this argument have equally drunk at the altar of fervent belief. That the formula for equality requires a willingness to overlook the thumb on the scale is beside the point.

  67. LTC John says:

    Fine, Pat can side with Al Gore…. I’ll side with Lord Monckton.

  68. Jeff G. says:

    That’s multiculti POMO claptrap at its bare root form. All religions are equally OK. All ethnicities are equally OK. And now he says both sides of this argument have equally drunk at the altar of fervent belief.

    And Frey stands above them both, the well-informed man, the considerate man, the judge.

    Nice when you can simply grant yourself that kind of power — and then applaud yourself for your neutrality.

    Power. It’s a tell.

  69. happyfeet says:

    I hate Obama

  70. newrouter says:

    i luv me some a “divider not a uniter”. go o!.

  71. happyfeet says:

    here’s a unitey guy he’s not dividey like some plus he’s prepared

  72. bh says:

    He’s also got some more short-term proposals — a payroll tax holiday to stimulate the economy, reviving the presidential power of impoundment (not spending money Congress has appropriated), a moratorium on federal regulations.

    Yes, he’s prepared. However, I’d like these ideas to gain traction regardless of his individual future success.

    Note to other GOP hopefuls: talk like this and you’ll have my ear.

  73. winston smith says:

    Why didn’t we think of thaT, oH maybe this,http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impoundment_of_appropriated_funds

  74. bh says:

    Hence the word “revival”.

    His own thoughts on the topic:

    • Impoundment power. Presidents once had the authority to spend less than Congress made available through appropriation. On reflection, nothing else makes sense. Plowing ahead with spending when revenues plummet is something only government would do. In Indiana, we are still solvent, with no new taxes, money in reserve, and a AAA credit rating only because our legislature gave me the power to adjust spending to new realities. I promise you that a president who wanted to could put the kibosh on enormous amounts of spending that a Congress might never vote to eliminate, but the average citizen would never miss.

  75. bh says:

    Actually, hence the word “reviving”.

  76. bh says:

    You really thought a) he didn’t realize that and then b) Barone wouldn’t have noticed?

  77. LBascom says:

    From an email going around I thought appropriate:

    First-year students at Texas A&M Vet school were attending their first anatomy class, with a real dead cow. They all gathered around the surgery table with the body covered with a white sheet. The professor started the class by telling them, “In Veterinary Medicine it is necessary to have two important qualities as a doctor: The first is that you not be disgusted by anything involving the animal body”. For an example, the Professor pulled back the sheet, stuck his finger in the butt of the dead cow, withdrew it and stuck his finger in his mouth. “Go ahead and do the same thing,” he told his students.

    The students freaked out, hesitated for several minutes, but eventually took turns sticking a finger in the butt of the dead cow and sucking on it. When everyone finished, the Professor looked at them and said, “The second most important quality is observation. I stuck in my middle finger and sucked on my index finger. Now learn to pay attention. Life’s tough, but it’s even tougher if you’re stupid..”

  78. Rupe says:

    I had to attend some family functions over the weekend. These people are mostly Republicans or conservative Dems. Do they even teach science or logic anymore? They were excited about the new wind turbines going up about a county over. My simple questions went unanswered, ie: How will this power be transmitted to the grid? Do you understand that lead acid batteries are still one of the best ways to store power – despite all the research. (I still want my infinite flux capacitor.) And this is the cruncher – Where will we get our power if the wind isn’t blowing at the right speed?
    I made a hasty retreat to the basement. I sort of planned this as my brother has a big screen TV down there and football aplenty was available.

  79. Pablo says:

    And more links. Gotta have more links. If we don’t provide a link, how are you supposed to take our arguments seriously?

    Reader poll!

  80. Slartibartfast says:

    Power. It’s a tellwhat’s for breakfast.

Comments are closed.