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Heated Debates

Well, here’s news worth interrupting a Sunday evening for (not much to interrupt, really — I’d been watching movies and eating pretzels in my underwear). Matt Drudge is reporting that the Bushies are about to do a 180-degree flip flop on their global warming stance:

U-Turn: Bush Admin Outlines ‘Global Warming’ Effects On America; Acknowledges Damage

In a stunning U-turn for the Bush administration, the United States has sent a climate report to the United Nations detailing ‘specific and far-reaching effects’ that it says ‘global warming will inflict’ on the American environment.

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Also for the first time — the White House places ‘most of the blame for recent global warming on human actions — mainly the burning of fossil fuels that send heat-trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere,’ the New York Times is planning to report on Monday Page Ones, according to publishing sources.

The United States will be substantially changed in the next few decades, claims the Bush report. The United States will ‘very likely’ be seeing the ‘disruption of snow-fed water supplies, more stifling heat waves and the permanent disappearance of Rocky Mountain meadows and coastal marshes.’

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‘The new report’s predictions present a sharp contrast to the administration’s previous statements on climate change, in which President Bush always spoke in generalities and stressed the need for much more research to resolve scientific questions.’

The move puts a substantial distance between the administration and the energy industry and automakers.

Impacting Hard…

Uh, I don’t know…more brilliant rope-a-dope strategery, maybe? I mean, Christ…!

Or as Instantman puts it, “I can’t figure this administration out. It’s getting to be like Clinton without the bimboes.”

Will this re-invigorate calls for the U.S. to embrace the Kyoto Protocol? Surely. Will we ever sign the damned thing? Not a chance. Instead, this strikes me as a remarkably transparent and ill-conceived move on the part of the Bushies to siphon off some of the Dem’s green-coalition support for the 2004 election — ill-conceived because Bush could pass a law commanding that henceforth corporations produce nothing save for oxygen, lentils, rain forests, and spotted owl eggs, and the Greens would still go after him for being “mindlessly pro-industry” and for engaging in “spotted owl hegemony”; transparent because, well, Bush thinks he’ll be running against Gore again in 04′, and he thinks this is a way to cut into Gore’s voter base (such as is it is).

Stupid. Stupid stupid stupid…

[update: See Steven Den Beste’s analysis of the Kyoto crowd; and here’s Ed Driscoll, who made the same argument I did, only he made it before I did. Which is what I get for drinking bourbon and watching Lithgow and a young Cynthia Nixon in The Manhattan Project…]

[update 2: Kevin Whited comments on Den Beste’s piece].

[update 3: Here’s an excerpt from the New York Times piece:

n a stark shift for the Bush administration, the United States has sent a climate report to the United Nations detailing specific and far-reaching effects that it says global warming will inflict on the American environment.

In the report, the administration for the first time mostly blames human actions for recent global warming. It says the main culprit is the burning of fossil fuels that send heat-trapping greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

But while the report says the United States will be substantially changed in the next few decades — ‘very likely’ seeing the disruption of snow-fed water supplies, more stifling heat waves and the permanent disappearance of Rocky Mountain meadows and coastal marshes, for example — it does not propose any major shift in the administration’s policy on greenhouse gases.

It recommends adapting to inevitable changes. It does not recommend making rapid reductions in greenhouse gases to limit warming, the approach favored by many environmental groups and countries that have accepted the Kyoto Protocol, a climate treaty written in the Clinton administration that was rejected by Mr. Bush.

The new document, ‘U.S. Climate Action Report 2002,’ strongly concludes that no matter what is done to cut emissions in the future, nothing can be done about the environmental consequences of several decades’ worth of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases already in the atmosphere.

[…] the report has alienated environmentalists, too. Late last week, after it was posted on the Web site of the Environmental Protection Agency, private environmental groups pounced on it, saying it pointed to a jarring disconnect between the administration’s findings on the climate problem and its proposed solutions.

‘The Bush administration now admits that global warming will change America’s most unique wild places and wildlife forever,’ said Mark Van Putten, the president of the National Wildlife Federation, a private environmental group. ‘How can it acknowledge global warming is a disaster in the making and then refuse to help solve the problem, especially when solutions are so clear?’

So, other than pissing off both his backers AND environmental groups, what exactly does this report accomplish? Not much — although perhaps a few people will point to this as a sign of Bush’s “honesty” vis-a-vis environmental issues…

Not worth interrupting a nearly-nude and pretzel-filled Sunday evening, afterall. Think I’ll go watch The Vanishing…]

6 Replies to “Heated Debates”

  1. ivan says:

    If it’s true what you say–that he’s just pandering for votes–then he deserves to lose the next election. But I think the strategy is smart. There is simply too much scientific evidence out there supporting the theory of global warming, and if Bush pretends again in 2004 that it doesn’t exist, he’ll look like even more of an idiot than he does now. I say, smart move. Just because he concedes global warming doesn’t mean he’ll necessarily have to take Draconian measures against industry. But admitting the problem makes him look like a rational, concerned person in the eyes of most voters. And that could indeed help him against Gore.

  2. Jeff G says:

    Who knows with this guy?  Maybe he’ll use it as a way to start pushing nuclear energy.  Which probably won’t fly at a time when we’re all worried about some Islamokazi in plutonium underpants detonating himself at Disney World.

    Personally I think this is a vote-pandering exercise.  I still haven’t seen any science to suggest that we can do much of anything about the global climate change, even with draconian measures such as Kyoto.  And the recent UN report suggested that countries like the US were actually gettting cleaner and cleaner…

    Nope.  I say this is a pure pander.

  3. Will says:

    Or is this just Crusty Whitman’s way of getting GWB to fire her so she can switch parties and run against him in 2004?

  4. Now you know how we ultra-Lefties felt the entire eight years of Clinton’s presidency.  He was sometimes Liberal, but mostly more to the Right, yet he pinched our butts and winked at us as if he were one of us.  Clinton was no ideologue, nor is Bush.  They are political animals who will do whatever it takes to win votes.

  5. John S says:

    Hmmm, if one were to actually read the documents (http://www.epa.gov/globalwarming/publications/car/index.html) one would find out that this is really part of fulfilling US requirements as part of the IPCC and does not represent a “new” change in policy but, continiuation of prior practices. Despite the Drudge and NY Times spin all the caveats and uncertainty of the estimates that were in the NRC/NAS report from last year (and were also ignored by the press) are continued. To look specifically at Chapter 6 (http://www.usgcrp.gov/usgcrp/nacc/thirdnatcom/chapter6summary.htm) you will also see that there is a lot of hedging and statements discussing the inability to estimate probabilities of outcomes.  There is also the Clear Skies initiative web page, <a href=”http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/02/20020214-5.html”>http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/02/20020214-5.html</a>

    There is really no change in the administration’s effort or emphasis. As Steven den Beste has already stated, other than not telling the Eurocrats what they want to hear, it’s pretty much “business as usual” in regards to US climate research. In fact the climate research community is looking forward to increased funding.

  6. Jeff G says:

    Which is what I concluded, too, once I read the <i>Times</i> piece. 

    It’s excerpted under update 3, along with my comments.

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