Having already juxtaposed the analysis by RCP’s Jay Cost with the district-by-district estimates from former Abbie Hoffman protege and political reporter Al Giordano, I add estimates from OpenLeft’s Chris Bowers, which I somehow managed to miss previously. Bowers thinks Giordano’s estimates are far too friendly to Hillary Clinton and suggests “the most likely pledged delegate projection from Pennsylvania is 84-74 in favor of Clinton (plus three add-on delegates), not the 92-66 that Giordano projects.”
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Karl – Can Edwards “give” all of his delegates to Hillary or Baracky? Or, can he only free them up to go to whatever candidate they choose? If he were to do that, would that give either one the the boost they might need to reach that 50%+1 number?
JD: I think the answer is “no,” because we would have heard about it by now if that was possible.
Both candidates would be really wooing him, including offering him the veep slot.
If Edwards’ delegates are really devoted to him, he would be able to tell them where to go (heh), and — as Daryl says — both H and O would be trying to attract his support.
Either Edwards doesn’t know how to market his delegates, or neither of the identity-group icons thinks his delegates are that devoted to him.