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Dems 2008: The still defective Clinton machine [Karl]

Do Washington Post reporters and editors communicate with each other?

Today, Dan Balz has a front page story on  Sen. Hillary Clinton’s deep ties to Texas, starting with an anecdote from Hidalgo County judge J.D. Salinas to make the point:

Sixteen years ago, as a young volunteer, Salinas helped look after Clinton when she came to McAllen for a big South Texas rally the day before her husband was elected president. He hasn’t forgotten that day. “There’s no learning curve for Senator Clinton,” he said. “She’s been coming here for 30 years.”

When the Texas primary campaign begins in earnest after Tuesday’s vote in Wisconsin, Obama will find stories such as this all over the Lone Star State. From her incidental connections such as the one Salinas described from the 1992 campaign, to deep friendships formed working in Texas during the 1972 presidential campaign of George McGovern, to acquaintances gained from multiple visits over the past decades, Clinton is rooted in Texas as she is in few other states.

*** 

In Texas, Obama cannot replicate Clinton’s affinity overnight. His advisers believe they can overcome many of her built-in advantages, enough at least to emerge with a close split in delegates under the state’s convoluted primary-caucus system, by tapping into a new generation of Texans who have no connections to the Clintons and by arguing that the senator from Illinois would be the stronger general-election candidate. But as was the case in the run-up to Super Tuesday, his advisers say he will be in a race against the clock.

Yet on page six of the same paper, Matthew Mosk tells a different story:

Supporters of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton are worried that convoluted delegate rules in Texas could water down the impact of strong support for her among Hispanic voters there, creating a new obstacle for her in the must-win presidential primary contest.

Several top Clinton strategists and fundraisers became alarmed after learning of the state’s unusual provisions during a closed-door strategy meeting this month, according to one person who attended.

What Clinton aides discovered is that in certain targeted districts, such as Democratic state Sen. Juan Hinojosa’s heavily Hispanic Senate district in the Rio Grande Valley, Clinton could win an overwhelming majority of votes but gain only a small edge in delegates. At the same time, a win in the more urban districts in Dallas and Houston — where Sen. Barack Obama expects to receive significant support — could yield three or four times as many delegates.

“What it means is, she could win the popular vote and still lose the race for delegates,” Hinojosa said yesterday. “This system does not necessarily represent the opinions of the population, and that is a serious problem.” (Emphases added.)

The rules in Texas are not a new obstacle.  A campaign with deep ties in Texas should have known about them before this month, when you could read all about them on the Internet.  These are inconvenient truths, which may explain how they landed on page six, instead of the front page.

6 Replies to “Dems 2008: The still defective Clinton machine [Karl]”

  1. happyfeet says:

    I think Matthew is just using misdirection here. What they don’t want people to see is that a lot of the game here is running up the popular vote so they have a case to take to the delegates that are super. Ok that’s just my theory really.

  2. happyfeet says:

    Hmmm. You think Balz is inoculating Obama a bit here?

    deep friendships formed working in Texas during the 1972 presidential campaign of George McGovern

    and then

    The Young Turks who helped Clinton register voters and organize Texas for McGovern

    and

    “Without a doubt they have a history here from the early ’70s in the McGovern campaign,” he said.

    I think maybe. He gets McGovern in there twice more, and this is the caption to the picture they use.

    In 1996, Hillary Rodham Clinton campaigned for her husband’s reelection at the University of Texas at Austin. Her ties to Texas go back to 1972, when she worked on George McGovern’s campaign. (By Kevin Delahunty — Associated Press)

  3. Karl says:

    hf,

    That’s a good point, but throw in the editors, who are responsible for the picture. It’s another reason for HRC to paint herself as the candidate who learned the lesson of 1972 and is trying to prevent the party from nominating another McGovern. Not that camp Clinton will figure this out.

  4. BJTexs says:

    Obama is not another McGovern because he’s not a one issue candidate. He can ride the changy hopeliciousness right to the white house without so much as a how do you do. There are enough epople pissed off at both political parties that he can be substance free right through the Gen eral Election and win.

    This worries me…

  5. Karl says:

    Actually, McGovern was not a one-issue candidate… but issues like the negative income tax didn’t help him, either. Of course, that concept is pretty close to today’s EITC, which came into being under Reagan.

  6. Rick Ballard says:

    Don’t forget abortion and the ERA. He was a multifaceted prog. If you count amnesty as a separate issue from cut and run and toss in some drug legalization stuff he actually had at least six (many more if you took acid before counting) planks in his platform.

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