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Iraq and the Wayback Machine

In the comments to this post, Topsecretk9 shares an excerpt from a 1992 Atlantic Monthly piece, “Tales From the Bazaar: As individuals, few American diplomats have been as anonymous as the members of the group known as Arabists,” in which the trajectory of the term “Arabist” itself is discussed, and in which the venerable Joseph Wilson makes a notable appearance.

I’ll share several excerpts that I found particularly interesting:

In the wake of Iraq’s August, 1990, invasion of Kuwait, which most Arabists did not anticipate, the term “Arabist” became even more negative. Francis Fukuyama, then a Reagan Administration appointee on the State Department’s Policy Planning Staff, and now a consultant for the Rand Corporation, commented after the invasion, “Arabists are more systemically wrong than other area specialists in the Foreign Service. They were always sending cables, and coming into the [Planning Staff] office, saying things about Saddam being a potential moderate that now they’re claiming they never said.”

[…]

[…] even during the hottest moments of recent history in the Middle East, few diplomats have been more anonymous than the Arabists have. With the exception of April Glaspie, the recent U.S. ambassador to Iraq, Arabists are just an opaque “them,” even to many of their worst enemies. Arabists, I found, are privately talkative, publicly shy. Like other bureaucrats and civil servants, they don’t call attention to themselves. They don’t pontificate on talk shows or op-ed pages. Peter Rodman, a fellow at the Johns Hopkins Foreign Policy Institute, who ran the Policy Planning Staff in the Reagan Administration, believes that the breadth, depth, and texture of the Arabists’ knowledge of the Arab world may work to immobilize their analytical thinking about it.

[…]

The postmortem on the Gulf War has been under way for more than a year. The indications are that it will continue for some time, as congressional committees and other investigators reconstruct in fine detail the aims and mechanisms of the foreign policy of the Bush and Reagan Administrations. There will no doubt be many revelations. It is unlikely, however, that any of them will alter the general picture of what occurred: a policy of support for Saddam Hussein during his war with Iran led, after the war, to a policy of coddling and drift. Why did this occur? What role, if any, did the Arabists play?

The answer is not a simple one, but I will lay out some of the elements. First, for a long time—indeed, during most of the period when Iraq was actively at war with Iran—the Arabists had very little say in U.S. policy toward Iraq. Washington did, however, have a well-defined policy of helping the one thuggish regime against the other thuggish regime, which was openly and viciously anti-American. That policy may have been imperfect and cynical, but it made some sort of sense and it was a policy.

A second element is the following: Arabists by and large were comfortable with this policy anyway, for reasons, as we shall see, that have everything to do with the history and psychology of their profession.

A third element is this: When the Iran-Iraq war ended, U.S. policy entered a period of ambiguity. Washington had no clear aims with respect to Iraq, except to permit various financial and military interests in this country to do business with Saddam Hussein. Secretary of State James Baker, moreover, was increasingly preoccupied with German reunification and getting Arab-Israeli peace talks under way. This was the time when Arabists might usefully have sounded a warning—a warning at the very least to disengage. Instead, conditioned by their past and by their training, and by their perception of Iraq as the Arab country of the future, they pushed to maintain the status quo: a measure of engagement, a measure of appeasement.

This is, of course, the very “realism” that many on the left would rail against at the time — and that they now support in retrospect, when the alternative is an idealistic and ambitious foreign policy that has sought to change the conditions in the middle east that have long allowed rogue regimes like Saddam’s Iraq to survive and wreck havoc.

Even the names are the same, with James Baker pushing for the same policies today that he did then, policies that the Robert Kaplan in 1992 was calling the “status quo”, consisting of “a measure of engagement, a measure of appeasement” — when what it should have been doing, the implications are, was sounding “a warning to disengage.”

Marisa Lino, the U.S. consul-general in Florence, who served with [William] Eagleton in both Iraq and Syria, explains that there are two kinds of State Department Arabists, the Washington policy type and the overseas cultural type, and that Eagleton was definitely the overseas type. Eagleton ran the U.S. Interests Section in Baghdad from 1980 through 1984, helping pave the way for the resumption of diplomatic relations between Iraq and the United States which occurred following the end of his tenure. He later became the U.S. ambassador to Syria, and then left the Foreign Service to work for the United Nations in Vienna in behalf of Palestinian refugees. Eagleton is the only U.S. diplomat with a working knowledge of both Arabic and Kurdish to have served in Iraq. If ever someone in the State Department had the mental tools to understand Iraq and where it was headed, it was—or should have been—William Eagleton.

His critics on the State Department’s Policy Planning Staff and on the National Security Council in the early 1980s—Reagan Administration appointees, for the most part—were never impressed, however. “Eagleton was a classic case,” one of them told me. “He didn’t know how to apply his cultural and ethnographic background knowledge to political analysis. We’d laugh at his cables.”

I first met Eagleton in Baghdad, in March of 1984. It was in the wake of a horrific incident that the media generally failed to report. In June of 1983 Robert Spurling, an engineer from Illinois who was overseeing operations at the Novohotel in Baghdad, had arrived at Saddam International Airport with his wife and three daughters, in order to fly home to the Midwest. At passport control an Iraqi official informed Spurling that there was a “small problem” with his exit visa and asked him to wait while the rest of his family proceeded to the departure lounge. After his wife and daughters passed through the barrier, Spurling was arrested as a spy. Iraqi officials then ordered Spurling’s wife and children onto the plane without him. Somehow his wife managed to phone the U.S. mission.

For three months the Iraqi authorities denied any knowledge of Spurling. Then, in August, after Eagleton’s persistent appeals, Iraq admitted that it was holding such-and-such a man. Eagleton’s own check into Spurling’s background revealed that the Iraqi allegations of espionage were nonsense. In October the Iraqis delivered Spurling to Eagleton’s doorstep. Spurling had been subjected to electric-shock torture in his genitals and elsewhere. He had been beaten with weighted fists and wooden bludgeons. His fingernails and toenails had been ripped out and his fingers and toes crushed. He had been kept in solitary confinement on a starvation diet.

A Canadian diplomat in Baghdad first told me the story, all of which Eagleton confirmed, adding that Spurling had spent several days recovering at Eagleton’s official residence before flying back to the United States. “This is a completely arbitrary system,” Eagleton told me during our conversation in 1984. “There are no laws, no charges filed; anything can happen. I wish I could recommend one Iraqi official who would be worth talking to, who might say something to you meaningful about his country. Unfortunately, there is no one I can think of. They’re simply too scared.” Eagleton added that the Iraqi security apparatus responsible for Spurling’s arrest and torture was headed by Saddam’s half-brother, Barzan Ibrahim al-Takriti. Barzan later became Iraq’s human-rights delegate in Geneva.

Eagleton also spoke about the Kurdish mountains. He indicated that one could not comprehend the puzzle of Iraq by knowing the Arab pieces alone—an insight that was less ordinary in 1984, when he expressed it, than it is now. Yet Eagleton was enthusiastic about the Arab portions, too: “You should read what the British had to say about Iraq. They loved this place.” Though Eagleton dutifully noted the Spurling incident in his annual human-rights report, he urged me to see the matter in perspective. Never before had something like that happened to a U.S. citizen here, and Eagleton implied that he had obtained a commitment from the Iraqi authorities that it never would again. (So far it hasn’t.) “Saddam is at the tough end of the moderate Arab world,” Eagleton assured me in 1984. “Even when the Iran-Iraq war ends, Saddam could not return to his radical policies, because Iran will continue to be a threat and Iraq will need help from the Gulf Arabs.”

When I saw Eagleton again, seven years later in Washington, after the end of the Gulf War, he defended that last statement. “I don’t think I did anything wrong. Saddam was at the time moving precisely in the direction we wanted him to go—toward moderation. There was a period of a year back then when we had no documented evidence of Iraqi involvement in terrorism. So our policy, encouraged by [King] Fahd and [Hosni] Mubarak, reflected this. But I despised Saddam. I knew Iraq in the good old days [before the 1958 military coup, which ended the monarchy]. Now I couldn’t even invite my friends from the bazaar to come to my house and look at my rugs. They would have been arrested.”

Eagleton, who was held in suspicion by some of Saddam Hussein’s clique because of his demonstrated concern for the Kurds, and who deserves credit for Spurling’s release, did not feel in 1983 that the impending resumption of relations between the United States and Iraq was worth disrupting over a single incident, however unfortunate. An innocent American had been torn from his wife and children and tortured in the manner of a dreary bureaucratic procedure, unconnected to any war or invasion with which the United States was involved. If appeasement was a force gathering from a variety of particulars, then the U.S. government’s ability to overlook the troubling implications of what Saddam’s half-brother had done to this American seems indeed seminal. But appeasement does not perfectly describe our tragedy in Iraq. There are other factors. There is that faiblesse that Hume Horan spoke about, and there is also that ineradicable impulse among diplomats to find something useful to do in a country where there may be little useful to be done.

[my emphasis]

So who was right? — the realists or those calling for human rights intervention?

Which is to say, how useful, exactly, are the Arabists in gauging, from the perspective of Western liberal interests, the cultural ethos in which they immerse themselves?

David Newton, another “top-of-the-curve” Horan contemporary, and the U.S. ambassador to Iraq from 1984 through 1988, brought a similar enthusiasm to his job.

[…]

Like Eagleton before him, Newton had a romantic interest in Iraq that, it must be said, in no way blinded him to its horrors. These two men were always willing to talk to the few journalists who happened to show up in Baghdad to write about the regime’s brutalities. When I first met Newton, in the Iraqi capital in August of 1986, another foreigner—Ian Richter, a British businessman—had just been arrested by the Iraqis on trumped-up charges. “This is the most terrified population in the Arab world,” Newton told me. “If the security services somehow get it into their heads that you’ve done something, there’s not much any of us can do to help.” During that same visit I had my own brush with Iraq’s regime-induced paranoia. I had been granted a visa to visit a group of pro-Saddam Hussein Kurds in the north who held territory over the border in Iran. But upon introducing me to my Kurdish hosts, Iraqi security men confiscated my passport. I did not see it again until two weeks later, when, in a car stuffed with the same morose-looking security men, it was handed back to me en route to the airport. Last spring I sought Newton out again to discuss what, exactly, he had thought he was accomplishing in Baghdad.

[…]

Prominently displayed in Newton’s office are color photographs of himself and April Glaspie—his successor as the U.S. ambassador to Iraq—in the presidential palace in Baghdad, both smiling as they introduce Saddam Hussein and Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz to a congressional delegation led by Senators Robert Dole and Alan K. Simpson. This was the occasion, a few months before the invasion of Kuwait, when Dole and Simpson apologized to Saddam Hussein for Voice of America broadcasts critical of his regime. “I keep these photos in the office as a teaching device: they fascinate my students,” Newton told me. He seems to be a man completely at peace with himself, who talks easily and honestly about his mistakes.

“Saddam put a lot of emphasis on nation-building and the Westernization of the economy, which was popular. Because he had everybody scared, one would have thought that there was no reason for excess brutality. Obviously, the gassing of the Kurds [in March of 1988] affected my view. We worked on intuition, with very few sources.”

“After the Kurds were gassed, why didn’t you just pull out—close the embassy?” I asked, alluding to a conversation I had had some years back with Robert Keeley, a former ambasssdor to Greece who now heads the Middle East Institute, in Washington. Keeley shut the U.S. embassy in Uganda at the time of Idi Amin’s reign of terror. “You maintain a diplomatic presence as long as you’re effective,” Keeley told me. “But in Uganda there came a point when we really were no longer able to have an effect. To be true to our own values, the only thing we could do was to leave, and scream about Amin from the outside.”

Newton said, “That made sense for Uganda”—a landlocked country of no strategic or economic importance to the United States. “But it’s naive to think you can just pull out of a militarily powerful and oil-rich developing country on the Gulf with which American companies were doing hundreds of millions of dollars of trade.” What might have been accomplished in Iraq, according to Newton, was that over time, with U.S. help, “Iraq’s level of repression could have been improved to that of Syria.”

Again, the question — for both today’s hawks and today’s neo-realists, is who was correct?

In retrospect, it is clear that Saddam’s “containment” was illusory, particularly if you happen to be an Israeli who was targeted by Palestinian suicide bombers financially subsidized by the Ba’athist dictator, or a US pilot patrolling the no fly zone, or one of the Iraqi children starving under an international attempt to use sanctions against Hussein (who enriched himself, and seems to have gathered a few allies along the way thanks to the Oil for Food scam). Too, the calls for an end to sanctions were growing, even as Hussein had done nothing to staunch human rights abuses, continued his refusal to cooperate with weapons inspectors, and flouted UN dictates.

But from the realist perspective, Saddam’s containment was suffering from only a slow leak — much of it manageable (and, frankly, remote, the thinking went), until 911 turned the prospect of Saddam providing aid and perhaps biological and chemical weapons to stateless terrorists whose goal it was to kill as many westerners as it could manage, leaving no specific geographical target for response, into a gathering threat, one that the Bush administration argued could not allowed to become “imminent.”

It is only in retrospect of this latest Iraq campaign, after the stockpiles of WMD didn’t materialize, that the realists have dared reassert themselves — finding a new generation of supporters on the political left, the same left that had spent the decades before excoriating realist policy as cynical and unsavory, part and parcel of a type of vulgar, selfish nationalism.

The irony, of course, is that Bush’s response to 911 was both idealistic AND realist — given that it sought political and social sea change in the Middle East as a way to curb Islamic aggression. Democracies, the thinking went, don’t war easily — and clearly, to Bushco’s way of thinking, what we’d be doing for the 5 decades before 911 hadn’t worked.

Which, of course, used to be the position of many liberal Democrats and foreign policy idealists — a position that changed once hard leftists (like International ANSWER) infiltrated the progressive camps and rallied the “peace” brigades, turning idealists into proto-isolationists, and repackaging foreign policy realism into self-satisfied bromides that railed against American occupation and hegemony and colonialization and imperialism, the language of the academic left, itself born from the same intellectual laziness that gave rise to boutique multiculturalism, identity politics, and western self-loathing, along with the linguistic constructs that fortify such anti-liberal projects and attitudes.

Likewise, the cynical desire to retake power at whatever cost has turned former foreign policy idealists into political opportunists of the worst sort — those willing to surrender their principles, if only temporarily, in order to get the “right” people back into office. This group — combined with the genuine hardcore lefties — has, through a pattern of groupthink, rationalition, media manipulation, and propaganda, convinced themselves of their own righteousness, and have blinded themselves (willfully in some cases, accidentally in others) to their shift in principles.

Which is to say, they have become, from a foreign policy standpoint, the Republicans of the 1990s, ranging from the “realism” of Baker and Bush I to the isolationism (appeals for an end to “outsourcing”; avoidance of foreign conflicts that “don’t concern us”) of the Buchananites.

And so the question becomes, were they right then or are they right now? Or, to be less broad, is their concern now more with the execution of what appears, on the surface, an idealistic foreign policy? Or are they able to convince themselves through wild conspiracies about Halliburton and Bush’s War for Oil, that the gambit in Iraq was not, in fact, properly idealistic, and so can be rejected even if its effect is to bring democracy to the country — the (astounding) argument being that, the Bushies’ dubious motives make it necessary for them to actively agitate against a democratic outcome they would have previously celebrated, had it been attempted by someone whose motives they considered pure.

For my part, I came out against Bush I because he didn’t finish the job and depose Saddam; at the time, I considered myself a broadminded, idealist Democrat (albeit one who occasionally supported Republicans like Reagan, whose doctrine of strength through power resonated with me, and against which Jimmy Carter’s morose defeatism seemed decidedly anti-American).

And today, I support Bushco’s foreign policy, realizing that it is indeed a gamble, particularly when half the country is actively agitating against it.

Which means that if I was wrong then, I’m wrong now — a consistency that may or may not show well on me, but one that I am committed to not out of some blind partisan loyalty, but rather out of philosophy concerning US foreign policy that speaks to ideals I’ve held for quite some time.

Others, though, had (and have) different priorities:

hrough Eagleton’s and Newton’s tenures in Baghdad the area specialists were at least operating within a well-defined policy construct. In 1988, however, the Iran-Iraq war ended, and Saddam Hussein provided a glimpse of his postwar self by exterminating five thousand Kurdish civilians. That was the time to begin a vigorous reassessment of the eight-year tilt toward Iraq, especially since a new Administration was entering the White House and a new ambassador was about to be dispatched to Baghdad. But the policy review seems never to have taken place.

Part of the reason for this was the new Secretary of State, James Baker, and the way in which he shifted the balance of power inside the State Department. Baker is the most powerful and interesting Secretary of State since Kissinger. At the outset both men distrusted the career Foreign Service, particularly the area specialists. But, according to Freeman, “Kissinger quickly acquired the talent to dig into the bowels of the bureaucracy while circumventing senior officials, in order to suck out the bank of information the area experts represented.” Baker is different. One former assistant secretary says, “To a greater extent than Kissinger, Baker operates alone. He meets with a Middle Eastern leader, then he tells Dennis Ross [the head of the Policy Planning Staff] what Ross needs to know, then Ross gives orders to his own subordinate, and so on. It’s a narrow chain of command.”

The only Middle East issue that really energized Baker was the one with a domestic political payoff: the Arab-Israeli question. That is why one saw the elevation of people like Ross and Deputy Assistant Secretary Daniel Kurtzer—people who are not traditional Arabists but, in the words of an Arabist colleague of theirs, “Arab-Israeli wallahs,” with limited interest in peripheral inter-Arab disputes. This may partly explain why, as critics observed, by 1990 Iraq was completely “off the radar screen.”

Ambassadors, Horan says, can and should make policy recommendations, but as Foreign Service professionals they have a duty to reflect, exactly, Washington’s current attitude toward a particular country. April Glaspie’s fate was to succeed Newton as ambassador to Iraq at a time when there was more drift than actual policy. And so, as in the days of Her Majesty’s colonial administration—when the British Arab Bureau was a law unto itself—the area specialists were left to fill the vacuum with their own goals and justifications for being in the awful country they were in, goals and justifications not always fully congruent with those of the nation whose interests they were supposed to serve.

[…]

Samuel W. Lewis, the president of the United States Institute of Peace and a former ambassador to Israel, provided a more exacting interpretation of the ambassador’s role at a recent conference in Washington devoted to diplomacy: “The responsibility of the ambassador and his staff is to know more about the country they’re in than anyone else and to make policy recommendations to the government.” In the view of Lewis, Horan, and others, the ambassador’s recommendations, if not always approved, should at least serve as the basis for ongoing policy discussions regarding a particular country. By this definition [April] Glaspie may not have been the villain that the scandal- and personality-obsessed media require in order to simplify the complex question of why the United States was caught off guard by Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait. But more than any other individual in the career State Department, she does bear responsibility. Therefore, a close look at her record is called for.

“April has never been involved in any issue where she was not a policy-driver,” says a former colleague who knows her well. “She was dynamic and aggressive, and supremely confident. April dominated issues. It was just not in her character to be a passive ambassador implementing a policy she did not fully agree with.” Indeed, Glaspie’s influence on U.S. Middle East policy was significant even before she became ambassador, when she headed the State Department’s northern Arabian division, which put Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan within her domain.

In fact, it was Syria’s alleged terrorist activities that may have revealed Glaspie’s policy viewpoint most clearly. In 1986 British and Israeli intelligence caught an Arab terrorist, Nizar Hindawi, attempting to smuggle a bomb aboard an El Al jetliner at London’s Heathrow Airport in the suitcase of his unsuspecting, pregnant girlfriend. Electronic eavesdropping revealed that Hindawi had been receiving orders through the Syrian embassy, whose ambassador was subsequently expelled. The European Community took the unusual step of imposing sanctions on Syria before the United States did. “April and Bill Eagleton were violently opposed to a tough American reaction,” says a former colleague. “I remember violent discussions with them.” One source describes the policy dispute between Glaspie’s northern Arabian division and State’s counterterrorism people as a bureaucratic “guerrilla war.”

“April Glaspie was much more protective of radical Arabs than our policy justified,” says a bureaucratic rival at the State Department. With respect to Iraq, Glaspie advocated everything possible to make the Iraqis feel comfortable to avoid a disruption in relations. A Capitol Hill staff member adds, “Her meeting with Saddam Hussein was the culmination of a failed policy line that she and [NEA Assistant Secretary John] Kelly had been tirelessly advocating since 1988.” This same person indicates that Dole and Simpson’s apology for the VOA broadcasts calling for democracy in Iraq was the result of a prior briefing by Glaspie, which “conditioned the senators for the cave-in.” A second source, who accompanied the senators on the trip, is of the same opinion: “I am a hundred percent sure that the apology was the result of Ambassador Glaspie’s briefing.”

[…]

ot only was April Glaspie perhaps the victim of a distracted policy apparatus, but those signals that Washington did transmit to her could only have been confusing. The Administration, concentrating on the Baltic States, the reunification of Germany, and Arab-Israeli issues in early 1990, while indicating its intention to withdraw from the Gulf those ships that remained from the l988 Kuwait reflagging operation, seemed to encourage its diplomats in Baghdad to ignore Iraq’s behavior toward Kuwait (even as behind-the-scenes aid to Iraq continued). To confront a powerful and volatile dictator, an ambassador needs specific support from Washington. Otherwise—as the Foreign Service drills into the heads of its career officers—an ambassador is supposed to ferret out the ruler’s intentions, take notes, and report immediately to the State Department.

April Glaspie met with Saddam Hussein one week before Iraq invaded Kuwait. Glaspie saw Hussein without a notetaker, because she had been summoned to the Iraqi Foreign Ministry on short notice and did not know that she was about to meet the Iraqi President, with whom she had never had a private meeting during her two years in Baghdad. She wondered if this could be the beginning of an “opening,” says a colleague of hers, and she obviously wanted the meeting to go well, especially as there was no time to get special instructions from Washington.

Glaspie told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee at an open hearing that the Iraqi transcript of the meeting, which depicts her as acting in a fawning manner toward Saddam Hussein, and as appearing to indicate that the United States did not care how Iraq settled its border dispute with Kuwait, was doctored. But Senate staffers say that the Iraqi transcript and her own cable of the event “track almost perfectly.” Glaspie, they and other observers conclude, was the ultimate staff person—obsessed with the diplomatic process to the point where she couldn’t accept that sometimes it is better for the process to collapse than for it to continue.

And yet, if you believe today’s liberal left, diplomacy is always the answer, except when the answer is more diplomacy or joint diplomacy.

But in retrospect — given what happened 911, and given that we’d already routed the Taliban and forced al Qaeda on the run — what would you have done, as a matter of foreign policy, to prevent what (the overwhelming consensus held) was “just the beginning” of a war with radicalized Islamists who had finally managed a major attack on US soil? Would your plan have included any other planks beyond playing “Where’s Osama”?

These are legitimate questions — asked in a way that is not meant as deliberately and pointedly partisan — questions that I think this trip in the wayback machine bring to light forcefully once again.

More from Kaplan, which, in hindsight, is positively eerie:

Peter Rodman, of the Johns Hopkins Foreign Policy Institute, wonders whether the Arabists’ best days actually lie ahead. “Since we will no longer have to look at the Middle East in East-West terms, it might be more appropriate, as Arabists have always urged, to treat the region on its own terms. But Arabists may blow their opportunity if they take a sentimental view of the fundamentalist phenomenon, which is the new strategic danger.” In a new climate, in which various forces impel Arab leaders to focus inward on their own societies rather than on Israel, the interstices that Arabists operate within should be wider and remain open for longer periods.

And so long as we’re taking eerie trips back in time — to the days before Arabists wrote op-eds or spoke publicly about policy — let’s take the time to visit Joe Wilson:

In the summer of 1987, after finishing his assignment in Yemen, [US press and culture officer in Iraq Jack] McCreary was posted to Iraq. “On a strictly political level, nothing was happening,” McCreary explained. “The embassy people knew nobody at the palace. We had no access to the Baath Party. We’d invite Iraqis to receptions and they were too frightened to show up. For us to claim we knew Baghdad would have been like a Third World diplomat claiming to know Washington because there was one desk officer at the State Department who returned his phone calls. But on the cultural level in Iraq there was tremendous hope.”

Western secular culture was a bone that Saddam tossed to his affluent urban subjects. Among other things, Baghdad was the lone Arab capital offering classical piano and violin recitals and a degree program in European music. McCreary’s daughters took ballet lessons at an Iraqi government school. McCreary became involved in a jazz club, Al-Ghareeb (“The Stranger”), in downtown Baghdad, where he played the saxophone and Joseph Wilson, the embassy’s deputy chief of mission, sang, while McCreary’s daughter Kate—along with a crowd of Iraqi artists—made charcoal sketches of the performances. “It was a marvelous place: jazz at night, me playing, Kate and the Iraqis drawing away. From the point of view of my job, the Iraqis’ interest in classical music and jazz was certainly to be encouraged.”

The jazz club and his daughters’ ballet lessons bought McCreary and his wife rare entrees to the homes of numerous Iraqi families. “It was an artsy crowd of ancient regime types and politically neutered intellectuals. Carol and I worked constantly to give these people a sense of American values, to demonstrate how free people think and behave: to show them it was possible. But they were cowed. The big crisis in one family was the teenage daughter, whose beauty had attracted one of Saddam’s Takriti goons.” (Takrit is Saddam Hussein’s birthplace, and that of many of his closest associates.)

This is a man today’s left holds up as a hero, even as they huzzah over the ludicrous prosecution of Scooter Libby.

And yet, yesterday and today, there was Joe Wilson, clueless interloper and diplomatic fraud, a pampered bureaucrat who, having conspired with his CIA agent wife, tried to swing a presidential election by lying to the American public and undermining a war effort that he should have known was, if not necessary, at least strategically and morally defensible.

What a loathsome creature.

33 Replies to “Iraq and the Wayback Machine”

  1. Sue says:

    How does one thank you enough for what is in this post.  I didn’t get to college and am retired, but that doesn’t mean I am stupid or uneducated.  I didn’t know so much of the specifics of the post, but having listened, watched and read much over the course of my life and using my own mind and philosophy, I long ago determined that a huge proportion of people involved in positions of authority generally are full of b.s.  That had been my experience.  What I know today, is that lying loudly and in our faces is acceptable today.  But, for the first time in my lifetime, with cable and the Internet, it is far easier for decent, normal, intelligent and reasonable like me to find answers that have alluded us for decades.  What does amaze me, however, is how many out there are being lead to slaughter and simply don’t, can’t or won’t know the truth when it hits them in the head. The tinfoil hatted leftist loons had been under rocks for decades, but they have slid out so that we are now aware of their slimy selves.  I am not sure, however, if we have enough time left in this great country.   

  2. furriskey says:

    That was a perceptive article and I read it with great attention.
    I will declare an interest of a sort- both my father and elder brother are Arabists (if by that we are to understand people who are fluent in Arabic and have a good understanding of the region and its culture). On a less diplomatic level I have the same background. There is much to be said for knowing your enemy.
    The State Department has some of the most brilliant minds in diplomacy, but  they can find themselves reporting to people whose qualification as representative of the United States was that they had made a substantial contribution to the winning candidate’s war chest.
    This has two obvious effects-
    a) to demoralise an otherwise excellent service
    b) to put some unsuitable people in positions of influence and responsibility.
     
    That wasn’t the case in Baghdad before GWI, where the incumbent was an Arabist- but she seems to have been the only one in the post. That is no way to run an embassy-
     

  3. Nanonymous says:

    " Depth, breadth and texture" is an interesting synonym for "ignorance."  You would be astonished at the disconnect between State officials and the countries that are their nominal areas of specialization.  They’re often given language training in DC, and have only the most limited contact with the societies they visit.  Their contacts, particularly in closed societies, tend to be small and are often themselves foreign – embassy staffers and the like.
    The real problem with the State Department is not that they’re ineffectual in their role as America’s emissaries to the outside world (although they are); it’s that they see themselves as the emissaries from the outside world to the U.S.

  4. Mikey NTH says:

    The most important part here was, I think, at the end.  The United States diplomatic mission in Iraq is reduced to playing and singing in a jazz club because it is the only way they can have any contact with Iraqis.  Talk about a failure to see tyhe forest for the trees.  That was the obvious sign to which they were oblivious – there is nothing of any importance that you can do here, you are reduced to a minstrel show and a joke. 
    That, and the obvious comment about diplomacy.  It is a tool, a process, to achieve an end.  If that end cannot be achieved through diplomacy then an honest assessment would be to stop trying that and try something else.  Yet throughout the article there was this sense that the state Department and its employees were avoiding that honest assessment of Iraq and the Hussein regime.  Any rationalization would be used to keep the diplomatic dance going even if the dancing was all in place.
     
    Furriskey:  I agree that having more than one expert would have been useful, but the people they had there didn’t need to be experts to understand that the Hussein regime ran Iraq by out Stalining Stalin and that there was nothing that could be done in this place due to the terror-state.

  5. Tman says:

    The depressing part about this is that none of it surprises me. The Chomskyites of the left were given their red meat of Vietnam to beat America over the head with for the last 40 years. It’s a wonder we were able to engage the Soviets and communism with enough force to topple their various regimes considering the anti-americanism from the so-called intelligentsia in the academic world constantly berating the values which allow us as a nation to persevere.
    Now we have the Darfurs of the world where a new generation of Americans want to see the US be a force for good, but thanks to the constant moral relativism from the left, the only force that has ever been proven to liberate entire nations from oppression (the US Military) is left fighting with both hands tied behind their backs.

  6. kelly says:

    Let me get this straight.
     
    Our diplomatic efforts in Saddam’s Iraq amounted to, basically, a talent show for wealthy Iraqis who were nonetheless terrified to be there?

  7. JD says:

    Obviously, our diplomatic efforts could have been more effective, such as not sending Wilson there in the first place.  On the other hand, the less actual and constructive engagement this tool has, it appears we are likely better off with him singing and playing jazz in a Baghdad tavern, smoking a hookah, and auditioning for America’s Got Talent.  Can anyone imagine that had he constructively engaged, that thing would have turned out better ?

  8. Jeff G. says:

    Apologies for the length here, by the way, but I found so much of this fascinating.

     And I really am curious to hear the anti-war folks’ opinions / arguments on this.

     Given what we "knew" in 1992, what was the proper way to deal with Iraq?  Seems to me kicking the can down the road was not such a good idea; but when you get down to it, this seems to be what those on the liberal left are now saying they favored.  "Containment was working," "Saddam wasn’t a threat," etc.

     Depends on who is being contained and threatened, yes?

     

  9. Mikey NTH says:

    If I wanted to be cynical I’d say that so long as he was invading countries that didn’t like us anyway, or invading his own country, Saddam was fine right where he was.  Once he started going after our strategic interests then he had to go.  Of course then, being utterly sober*, I’d have to ask (a) this invading places is rather a habit with him, no?  And (b) when is he going to get around to invading someplace we actually care about?
    Since the number of uninvaded neighbors of Iraq was getting smaller with each passing decade I would have to think that if we can’t control him he has to go, the sooner the better.  Can we control him?  [Looks at diplomatic staff playing jazz in a Baghdad nightclub so as to get the teeniest bit of contact with the local population who otherwise flee when they approach]  Looks like our influence with him is in the triple negative digits, so no, we can’t control him.  Ergo, he’s gotta go.  ("Sorry about the impact on your career as a jazz singer, Joe; but that’s the decision…sure, you’ll get your revenge…whatever, ‘ambassador’ Wilson.")
     
    *I’ll fix that in two and one-half hours.

  10. Ric Locke says:

    Careful, Jeff. You’re allowing them to frame the narrative to their benefit.

    They wish you to accept the syllogism “the war is vile, Bush started the war, therefore Bush is evil” and argue either for or against. That’s a mug’s game, since the whole thing is, and has been from the beginning, “Bush is evil, therefore any policy of his is vile, including the war.” “Bush is evil” derives directly from their stereotyping of the culture he represents, and from the fact that he abandoned their culture to join it. (Apostates are always the most difficult for True Believers to deal with.) Since what you would be arguing is not even closely related to the postulates they accept, you can’t make any inroads.

    If any path forward exists, it consists of attacking their bigotry directly — and you ain’t heard howlin’ yet.

    Regards,
    Ric

    Regards,
    Ric

  11. Eric J says:

    Let’s not forget- Wilson was still there in the Baghdad  embassy in 1990 when we told Iraq that the U.S. basically had no opinion on his border dispute with Kuwait. I wonder how the mint tea was?

  12. timb says:

    I have a number of observations: First, I do love Bob Kaplan.  War supporter or not, I love his writing and his observations.  From reading all of his books,  I knew the occupation of Iraq would fail, because you cannot impose democracy on a people.  It’s a long, drawn-out contest that consists of competing institutions; it was and is about more than pretense and faux elections.  Whether you agree with that assertion or not (and I doubt the post 9/11 Kaplan would), his books are wonderful.

    Secondly, many people seem to misunderstand the role of US embassies.  An embassy is not a tool to control another nation’s policies.  It is to promote the individual interests of American citizens in that country and the other country’s citizens in the US.  The US embassy was not a tool for controlling Hussein and could not have done so even if it were.  At most it is supposed to be the eyes and ears of the US on the ground in a foreign capitol.

    Thirdly, containment toward Iraq was and is the correct strategy at that time.  If you folks want to go off crusading against regimes like Hussein’s, there are still plenty of countries to invade: Uzbekistan, Sudan, Egypt, Syria, Iran, China, Turkmenistan, Chechnya, the Democratic Rep of Congo, Myanmar…all these nations consistently abuse minorities (and oftent he whole populace).  But, as Kaplan points out, we cannot do that and, as Iraq has shown, invasions are more expensive than containment.  Whatever you guys want to say about pre-2003 Iraq, 100 civilians were not dying per day.  So, yeah, Tim, prior to 2001 felt containment was right and post-2001 sees it the same way.Cynical Tim notes we can’t have major bases in Saudi Arabia anymore, so at least we can have them in Iraq.Lastly, Joe Wilson was promoted and sent to Iraq by George Bush and was the ambassador of Iraq, appointed by 41.  When did he turn into an evil leftist, hellbent on destroying American democracy in mid-2003? (the whole tried to influence an election that took place almost 18 months later confused more than most of the insane ranting re: Wilson generally do).

    Anyway, check out Kaplan’s books. 

  13. Rob Crawford says:

    Secondly, many people seem to misunderstand the role of US embassies. An embassy is not a tool to control another nation’s policies. It is to promote the individual interests of American citizens in that country and the other country’s citizens in the US.

    Wrong.

    The purpose of an embassy is to represent our nation’s interests to the other nation. Assisting individual US citizens is a nice-to-have; assisting the other nation’s citizens is purely swag.

    Whatever you guys want to say about pre-2003 Iraq, 100 civilians were not dying per day.

    Not that anyone reported, anyway.

  14. Mikey NTH says:

    An embassy is the official point of contact between the host government and the government that sent the ambassador.  It is to promote the interests of the government that sponsors it by collecting information on the host country, relaying messages, and answering inquiries from the host government.  The fact that it assists the citizens of its own nation in the host country is a side benefit; assisting the citizens of the host country is merely good diplomacy.
    The embassy does not "control" the host government as you well know.  The policy of control or influence comes from the nation’s capital and is handled in amny different ways.  Try reading for comprehension just once, timmy.

  15. B Moe says:

    …because you cannot impose democracy on a people… 

    Has the left ever had a stupider fucking catch phrase?  You can’t force people to make a choice?

    Whatever you guys want to say about pre-2003 Iraq, 100 civilians were not dying per day.

    That would mean they had a mortality rate less than 10% of the US.  Apparently conditions under Saddam were a bit exagerated.

  16. Mikey NTH says:

    B Moe:  Those mass graves must have been part of a Halliburton mind-trick then; pity they couldn’t conjure up some WMDS in nice neat large stockpiles with ‘born-on dates’ and ‘Best if used on infidels in America before January 2004’.
    Oh, and shipping labels to a cave in Tora Bora, ‘To: Osama – Happy Jihading!  Hugs and Kisses, Saddam’.

  17. mojo says:

    <blockquote>Whatever you guys want to say about pre-2003 Iraq, 100 civilians were not dying per day.</blockquote> Weren’t being reported in the western media, he means… 

  18. Once again, timmah demonstrates his utter ignorance of the very topic he deigns to comment upon.

  19. McGehee says:

    It is to promote the individual interests of American citizens in that country

     Leave it to the timbot to claim the most important role of a U.S. embassy abroad is to be a kind of far-afield field office for the welfare state.

  20. Mikey NTH says:

     Ã¢â‚¬Å“It was a marvelous place: jazz at night, me playing, Kate and the Iraqis drawing away. From the point of view of my job, the Iraqis’ interest in classical music and jazz was certainly to be encouraged.”
    This is a most damning phrase, calling lemons lemonade.  Out of the millions of Iraqis they saw how many that were at that club as regulars?  The wait staff was just wait staff, or were they intelligence agents?  Didn’t they realize how useless and impotent they were in advancing American interests in Iraq, out of Iraq’s millions, how many knew of the jazz club and would go there?  The article assumes that they thought of it as a private establishment.  Was it?  With their dearth of contacts in official Iraqi society how could they assume that this club was anything other than an official Iraqi Intellegence operation, with all there, including their social friends, doing anything but reporting to the Hussein government all that they did and all that went on there?
     
    I suppose it kept them occupied, but as an example of rationalization, I don’t think that you could find a finer one, or a finer example of ‘If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail’.

  21. Rusty says:

    Reminds one of nothing less than the salons of Europe just before the start of WW1. 

  22. shine says:

    Isn’t realism what is working now? For example, in Anbar, we are working with the sheiks, not with democratically elected officials. If we were to use liberal democratic idealism, we wouldn’t be working with sheiks. And we may not be having the supposed successes of Anbar.

  23. Mikey NTH says:

    So you confirm the efficacy of the realist doctrine of ‘he’s a bastard, but he’s our bastard’?  Good to know that; good to have confirmation that what the United States does in its relations with foreign nations should be based on the purest expediancy, with no view longer than one administration to the next.  Good to know that the tactical policies of the military should drive American foreign policy.
     
    Or should American foreign policy be based on a longer view, that nations have life-spans beyond that of mortals, and that a longer view would advise encouraging democracy in the arab lands of the middle east so that those people in those lands become more concerned about the lives they can build there and less open to the blandishments of every demagouge (whether he wears a tie or a turban)?  I ask that because war is upon us, whether we want it or not, and the response we give to the declaration, and how we react and treat the peoples of that land will determine how this war will end.  And to be perfectly clear, we can end much of it right now with an application of nuclear fire, and the arrest and expulsion into those burned lands of all whose religion dates from the seventh century, A.D.  And then another application of nuclear fire.
     
    How do you want this to end?  I would prefer that nuclear fire never be used, but how do you want this to end?  And how do we get there?  We have been waiting for an alternative answer from the left for six years, especially interested after we adopted their program of overturning dictators.
     
    Got ideas?

  24. shine says:

    “Good to know that; good to have confirmation that what the United States does in its relations with foreign nations should be based on the purest expediancy, with no view longer than one administration to the next. ”

    I don’t see why one would have to be a totalist about this. Idealists don’t reject the contribution the US made for democracy in WWII, despite its incredibly unfree locking up of japanese people and its treatment of blacks in the south.

    I certainly think we should encourage democracy and all that nice liberal crap. But I fear that the results of it are not what we want. For example, I think a democratic Iraq would have a large component that was anti-israel and pro-iran. Likewise a democratic egypt would see the muslim brotherhood gain ground. So I think rather than just democracy we need to build secular civil society. I don’t know much about how you do it. But I do suspect that our current rulers don’t either.

  25. B Moe says:

    …despite its incredibly unfree locking up of japanese people… 

    Dude.  Like, for real. 

  26. Topsecretk9 says:

    In the comments to this post, Topsecretk9 shares

    Aye Karumba! — man a really busy day kept me from peeking in to see my little comment generated a gynourmously wonderful MASSIVE post by Jeff – thanks Jeff! I just poured a drink and can’t wait to begin reading!

  27. Topsecretk9 says:

    The most important part here was, I think, at the end. The United States diplomatic mission in Iraq is reduced to playing and singing in a jazz club because it is the only way they can have any contact with Iraqis.

    Mikey NTH — I do appreciate your positive thinking, but I’m not so sure they wanted anything other than Jazz night and fancy dinners with Saddam’s chief arms buyer. In fact, I think in hindsight and to put it roughly, Kaplan described a diplomatic corp – the “cultural” arabist corp – as a bunch of people who liked being wined, dined, bribed and entertained, nevermind the brutality and bloodshed they pretended were blips — that brutality and bloodshed was a nuisance to them as it threatened to end their cushy pampering they would have otherwise never be treated to

    Another aspect Kaplan defined – cultural type vs. the DC policy type and linked the Peace Corp service to the “cultural” type — in essence the ones that betrayed the US of any real meaningful assessment of the real conditions in Iraq and then “shaded” their assessment so as to ensure the fun pampering Saddam gravy train remained.

    “On a strictly political level, nothing was happening,” McCreary explained. “The embassy people knew nobody at the palace. We had no access to the Baath Party. We’d invite Iraqis to receptions and they were too frightened to show up. For us to claim we knew Baghdad would have been like a Third World diplomat claiming to know Washington because there was one desk officer at the State Department who returned his phone calls. But on the cultural level in Iraq there was tremendous hope.”

    Well, THAT’S just funny – perhaps Wilson didn’t TELL the U.S. embassy’s press and culture officer McCreary the HE, WILSON, was mingling with the not so scared and well high ups?

    In 1988, Wilson found himself in Baghdad as the number two to Ambassador April Glaspie, a career diplomat and an experienced Arabist. “She didn’t need somebody who knew the issues deeply, because she knew the issues deeply…. She wanted somebody who knew how to manage the embassy,” he says.

    At that point Saddam Hussein was still a U.S. ally, but he was being watched like a hawk. In late July 1990, Glaspie, who had already delayed her annual vacation to America twice, packed her bags and came home, leaving Wilson in charge.

    The night of August 1, Wilson had dinner with someone he describes as”Saddam’s principal arms buyer in Paris. It was so hot the air was literally shimmering right in front of the windshield. I get to this guy’s house, and it had been chilled to 45, 50 degrees … roaring fire in the fireplace and over in a corner a white baby grand piano and a guy playing classical music on it. The guy looks like a Pancho Villa figure, Mexican bandito…. We sat down to dinner, just him, myself, my wife, and five bodyguards-armed.”

    Wilson got home and went to bed. The phone rang at 2:30 a.m. “I got up. It was dark out. Tripped over the dog. The voice at the other end says, ‘Mr. Wilson, I have the White House on the line.'” Stark naked, Wilson stood at attention. The line went dead.

  28. furriskey says:

    The purpose of an Embassy is to sell the policies of the represented nation to the host nation. Secondarily to report on the politics of the host nation. Thirdly to influence those politics without getting caught.
    Looking after drunk citizens who lose their passports and get sunburn is the function of the consular officials, the lucky bastards.

  29. topsecretk9 says:

    And so furriskey they failed.

    Isn’t odd and creepy that liberals find it exciting that Wilson had dinner Saddam’s arms’ buyer but Wilson does not have the balls to name the man?

  30. furriskey says:

    Certainly they failed- but they were not alone in that.
     
    And if anyone truly believes that an Arabist of any competence whatsoever will be wined and dined better as a diplomat than as a hard drinking international businessman, I am here to tell you that you are sorely mistaken.
     
    Diplomats do what they do because they believe they are serving the interests iof their country. Not because it is fun splitting a bottle of Black Label with a bunch of Tikriti thugs.  HDIBs do it for the money. I have already copyrighted the T shirt, so back off.

  31. Jeff G. says:

    I don’t see why one would have to be a totalist about this. Idealists
    don’t reject the contribution the US made for democracy in WWII,
    despite its incredibly unfree locking up of japanese people and its
    treatment of blacks in the south.

    In my post I wrote:  "The irony, of course, is that Bush’s response to 911 was both
    idealistic AND realist — given that it sought political and social sea
    change in the Middle East as a way to curb Islamic aggression.
    Democracies, the thinking went, don’t war easily — and clearly, to
    Bushco’s way of thinking, what we’d be doing for the 5 decades before
    911 hadn’t worked."

    So sure, idealism tempered by realism is always advisable — particularly when the realism is in the service of the idealism. 

    What I find amazing is that the neo-realists have completed ignored the "realist" part of Bush’s plan, and have excoriated him for his silly "idealism" — the very idealism that was once the entirety of their foreign policy desires.

    Might not strike you as particularly telling, but it sure speaks to me (who, admittedly, is putting his ear to the ground and looking for these types of internal rumbles).

     

     

  32. BJTexs says:

    For example, I think a democratic Iraq would have a large component that was anti-israel and pro-iran.

     
    As opposed to the Saddam tenure, which was helpfully anti – Iran but most unhelpfully anti-Israel, anti American, anti-Arab Neighbors, Pro-cash for terrorists, pro WMD’s, pro-using WMD’s (re. Kurds and pesky Iranians), not to mention pro-"I want to be the modern all powerful caliph who controls Middle East Oil and sets thre world record for most mind numbingly gaudy palaces built while delivering my political opponents to their families dismembered in garbage bags!"
     
    Well. maybe that was better … maybe…

  33. shine says:

    It could be better. But if so it’s better by that "lesser evil" calculus of realism. Not the wide  eyed long view of idealism.    

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