Rush Limbaugh believes some polling outfits are sacrificing future credibility for a chance to aid in a strategy to invalidate a Romney victory.
I’m not sure how they’d do this with the internals made available publicly — for instance, Obama +5 in Ohio is based on a +7 Democrats polling differential, which would make using that as “proof” of disenfranchisement or voter suppression easily debunked — so they’d have to be willing to falsify their own polling internals under the scenario Limbaugh paints.
There are other explanations for these outlier polls, though: first, in this case Quinnipiac is willing to sacrifice its credibility to keep alive a favorable Obama narrative — and in so doing, hoping to use polling as an influence rather than a snapshot of reality; or else perhaps what’s happening is that they’re just really shitty pollsters.
Having said that, I think Rush makes a very interesting point about the exit polling from 2004. I remember blogging on that as it happened and thinking something just wasn’t right. Again, was that data dump, trumpeted all over the left blogosphere and in the mainstream press, intended to influence and itself suppress GOP voter turnout? Or was it just a mistake in the nature of the calculations, as we were told?
I don’t put anything past people whose sole desire is power, and the wielding of it to meet their own ends. I’m just not sure offering demonstrably skewed polls in support of an attempt to delegitimate a Romney win is a plausible strategy.
Even so, get out and vote in record numbers. Let’s make it all a non-issue by beating this guy’s ass so badly that the moldering carcass of Frank Marshall Davis feels it and has to roll over from the pain.