In summer 2009 I started Fire Fifty, with the obective of firing fifty members of Congress in 2010 in order to take the House away from the Progs. The objective was met, though Fire Fifty had little to no impact. I think the idea was good, and I hoped that some national organization, with an interest in electing Republicans, might come along and run with the idea. Maybe some mythical organization, let’s call it, oh I don’t know, maybe the National Committee of Republicans, could suggest how to prioritize the application of resources and focus on the critical House races. Here’s the link to that.
C’mon, the Establishment sees no need to put that out there, the Democrats will know the super secret strategeries. Plus, look what happened the last time they let the yahoos get involved. The powers that be will decide how to apply the resources, thank you very much, just send your check to the RNC.
The Establishment has demonstrated their lack of political acumen and their unremitting hostility to the TEA Party, so I’ll pass on sending money back East. Instead I, your humble one-man marching band, is preparing to re-fire Fire Fifty. It really is just a table of links to House races where individuals can connect directly to the candidates on the front line, and then polls for the individual races as they become available.
And instead of the RNC deciding funding priorities, I do.
We know there is a team on the Left working a similar project in their normal top-down fashion. So, I’m going back in, and I’ve taken a first cut.
- There are 19 incumbent Republicans in Democratic districts, 11 in D+3 or tougher districts
- There are 18 incumbent Democrats in Republicans districts, all 18 in R+3 or better districts
- There are 25 incumbent Republicans in 0 to R+3 districts
- There are 17 Incumbent Democrats in 0 – D+3 districts
- There are 60 House TEA Party caucus members, one in a Dem district (but that’s changing), three in 0 – R+3 districts, eighteen in R+3-R+10 districts, and thirty-eight in R+10 or better districts.
Priority
- Defend TEA Party Caucus (TPC) member in 0-D+3 district (1 seat: Alan West, who’s moving)
- Defend TPC members in in 0 – R+3 districts (3 seats: Joe Walsh IL, Tim Walberg MI, Blake Farenthal TX)
- Take on Incumbent Dems in R+3 or better districts (18 seats)
- Defend Non-TEA Party Caucus (Non-TPC) members in D+3 or tougher districts(11 seats)
- Defend Non-TPC members in 0 – D+3 districts(7 seats)
- Take on Incumbent Dems in 0 – D+3 districts (17 seats)
- Defend Non-TPC members in 0 – R+3 districts(22 seats)
- Defend TPC members in R+3-R+10 (18 seats)
for a total of 35 seats to take and 62 to defend. It’s certainly not the target rich environment bowl of daffodils of 2010, when I (initially) skipped the Blue Dogs and still had 65 seats to go after in which the Dem incumbent was more liberal than the district.
Thoughts?
don’t forget the senate. lugar must go: richardmourdock.com/
Here’s a thing motionview. There’s also ferment in my district, formerly held by Knifeless-Mackthe4th. Currently, I’m inclined to go with Chauncey Goss, one of Porter’s sons.
Here’s another one to catalog.
Thanks sdferr, I love being able to line out incumbents before we beat their chosen successor’s asses too.
Redistricting is messing me up, I will have to rework everything once the final districts are known everywhere.
you need a super pac Mr. motionview is what you need
they’re very easy to get I heard it on National Soros Radio
Looking for that sweet Koch check as we speak.
I’m being for reals it’s really is a very simple thing to do and bam you can raise money with paypals and such and then put out your message in all the relevant mediamarkets
or you can do a regular old pac where you give different candidates a wee limited amount of your paypal monies
Why have a regular pac when you can have a superpac?
with great power comes great responsibility leigh
Of course. I trust motionview to do the right thing.
Tennessee’s 5th District (Nashville proper) is a LeftLibProgg haven; it’s been under Democratic domination since 1875. There’s this man, Big John Smith, taking a shot at it. Jim Cooper is the bastard what needs firing.
Thansk jdw it is a D+3 district that has been giving Cooper 70% of the vote. It is vulnerable though, because Barack Obama is much more vulnerable, so I hope Big John is running against BHO and Nancy Pelosi and characterizing Cooper as a kind of two-faced Assistant to American Decline, and a vote for Cooper is a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker. Every picture Big John shows of Cooper should show Cooper giving Barack Obama or Nancy Pelosi a nice tongue-bath.
I missed this district the first time through, my spread sheet is set for (< 3) and not (<=3) on the Cook Partisan Index.
Here’s some good news and bad news. The good news is that it looks like Wall Street is hedging their bets on the God King. The bad news is they are shifting to Mr. Inevitable.