Sen. Hillary Clinton’s camp may fear that Sen. Barack Obama will win the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries, but I predict he will not win the Michigan primary. Am I going out on a limb? The Detroit News poll had Sen. Hillary Clinton ahead by 21 points, but that poll is from November. Obamementum could have closed that gap by now, couldn’t it?
Not so fast!
I am boldly predicting that Obama will not win the Michigan primary because… Obama withdrew his name from the ballot:
In October, four Democratic presidential candidates – Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., and former Sen. John Edwards – filed affidavits with the Michigan Department of State requesting that their names be removed from Michigan’s Jan. 15 Democratic Party primary ballot.
This means four Democratic candidates are still on the Michigan ballot: Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn., Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Sen. Mike Gravel, D-Ala.
Yet Sens. Biden and Dodd dropped out of the race for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination on Thursday after placing a distant fifth and sixth, respectively, in the Iowa caucuses.
I am not yet prepared to project Clinton as the winner. Obama could urge people to vote for Kucinich, just for spite.
Comment by JayC on 1/7 @ 1:36 am #
“Obama withdrew his name from the ballot”
Come on. He’s the Obamessiah. He’ll find a way to win.
Comment by Carin on 1/7 @ 6:20 am #
Michigan Dems are enocouraging people to vote non-committed. That will be “Obama-speak” for we want HIM not HER.
Comment by Dennis D on 1/7 @ 6:46 am #
Obama is popular because Dem Voters know little about him. The Dems they knew the best were rejected. Biden and Dodd. What does this mean? To know them is to hate them?
Comment by Blind Howling Moonbat on 1/7 @ 6:47 am #
CHANGE!
Comment by McGehee on 1/7 @ 7:43 am #
Clearl a veiled reference to Hillary’s mental state, yes?
Comment by steveaz on 1/7 @ 9:52 am #
An Obama loss in Michigan could douse the “Golden-boy” aura that he earned with the Iowa win. But, Karl, a win could hurt him, too.
Methinks that, between Dearborn, MI’s mosque-culture, and Detroit’s unionized racialism, Obama cannot win in that state without tacking to the left. And in doing so, he will tarnish his centrism and damage his chances for election to national office.
It’s hard for a national candidate to pitch audacious hope to the peeples of America if you’re seen to lack audacity in renouncing Islamofascism, and can offer no hope to Detroit’s ghettoized underclasses in Michigan.
I’d have withdrawn my name, too, if I was Obama.
Comment by RTO Trainer on 1/7 @ 10:43 am #
Michigan doesn’t get any delegates at the Democratic Convention, so why does it matter?
Pingback by What do you do with a candidate like Obama? [Karl] on 1/8 @ 1:42 am #
[...] convention, which is a significant boon to Clinton’s delegate count. (Did you think I was just joking about [...]
Comment by Sara Cole on 1/8 @ 1:54 pm #
even if Obama’s name was still on the ballot, Clinton would win. Because the primary is open the Dems here in Michigan are going to cross over and vote the Republican primary this year to repay the Republicans for the Wallace, Fieger primaries of the past. Watch for a low Dem count and a high Repub count
Comment by Karl on 1/8 @ 10:55 pm #
RTO Trainer,
Elsewhere, I have a link from the Left in which DNC sources admit that MI and FL will be seated.
Comment by RTO Trainer on 1/8 @ 11:06 pm #
Where is this link? Else?
Comment by Karl on 1/8 @ 11:09 pm #
RTO,
Hold on a tic and I’ll dig it up.
Comment by Karl on 1/8 @ 11:12 pm #
It’s in “What do you do with a candidate like Obama?”
Comment by Maxwell on 1/9 @ 2:23 pm #
The arrogance of Obama and Edwards to reject thier names from the ballet is startling and down right offensive. If they won’t put thier names on the ballet they are admitting they don’t care what the people of Michagen think, and are too b usy focusing on thier own campaign. Obama and Edwards should be ashamed. As a young voter I will be voting for Hillary Clinton, she has the record, not just idealism, to run our country in a new direction.
Comment by happyfeet on 1/9 @ 2:31 pm #
It didn’t hurt me I’m just startled. I’m a young voter. Look what I can do!
Comment by Jay. on 1/9 @ 3:01 pm #
Obama, the candidate of change, obandoned MI to protect the Status Quo.
Comment by RTO Trainer on 1/9 @ 3:14 pm #
I just came from there.
What are you doing? Your best impersonation of the Army Personnel Department?
Pingback by Dems 2008: Clearing up confusion on MI and FL [Karl] on 1/9 @ 7:13 pm #
[...] I have previously posted about the Michigan primary, it seems that there is still confusion over what has happened [...]
Comment by Puzzled on 1/15 @ 1:03 am #
Maxwell, have you even followed the news? The reason Obama & Edwards are not on the ballot (not ballet, though it might be interesting to make the candidates try to perform ballet) is because Michigan violated the DNC (Democratic National Committee) rules by moving its primary to a date earlier than that which the DNC rules allowed. As a result, the voting by Michigan on January 15th is essentially meaningless – there will be no delegates awarded to any of the Democratic candidates.
Because no delegates will be awarded, and to honor the DNC rules, most of the Democratic field removed their names from the ballot.
Hilary Clinton, acting somewhat opportunistically (presumably with the hope that the media will report her ‘win’ in Michigan which will give her a boost going into Nevada & subsequent caucuses & primaries) elected to leave her name on the ballet.
So, to say that Obama & Edwards removed their names because they are arrogant is simply wrong. They removed their names because they agreed to follow the rules that the Democratic party established. And Hillary Clinton chose to ignore those rules.
Puzzled
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