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July 28, 2008

The Obamas are the Jolie-Pitts? [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 28 Jul 2008

Former tabloid big Bonnie Fuller notes that Camp Obama is using popular mass-media vehicles such as People, Us Weekly, The View, Access Hollywood and The Colbert Report to “present Michelle and Barack as the beloved Brangelina of the political world.”  Regular …

Why it’s not good to be the Obamessiah [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 28 Jul 2008

RCP’s Jay Cost notes (as noted here) that John McCain’s campaign still seems like a pudding without a theme, but also argues that Barack Obama’s campaign “is built around a faulty, occasionally absurd meta-narrative”:
Obama’s narrative should be similar to [Bill] …

July 3, 2008

What might we learn from Obama’s big TV ad buy? [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 03 Jul 2008

Dark Lord Karl Rove and RCP’s Jay Cost both look at Barack Obama’s bold general election ad campaign.  Rove questions the whether spending nearly $20 million in early TV advertising is prudent.  Cost argues that the buy is more about …

May 29, 2008

Will the youth vote win it for Obama this fall? [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 29 May 2008

At Salon, Democratic pollster Paul Maslin looks at whether the youth vote can deliver the presidency to Barack Obama.  Most of Maslin’s point echo my assessment of the youth vote from May 26, but it is always good …

May 26, 2008

The Obama Coalition: a review and outlook [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 26 May 2008

RCP’s Jay Cost has a series of bar charts reviewing Barack Obama’s voting coalition.  Most of these review Obama’s performance versus Clinton, which makes them of limited interest in the context of the general election. 

The final chart, however, addresses …

May 7, 2008

Dems 2008: IN & NC round-up, analysis [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 07 May 2008

When Gary Mayor (and Barack Obama backer) Rudy Clay started hinting that a shocker might come out of late-reporting Lake County, IN, someone in Hillary Clinton’s campaign was probably tasked with pulling the video of Bob Beckel on FNC, …

May 5, 2008

The Party System and the 2008 Campaign [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 05 May 2008

At RCP, Jay Cost prints the text of a speech he gave to a conference at Princeton University on the national party organizations – and their capacity to manage an election like this one.

I disagree with Cost’s claim that …

April 30, 2008

Election 2008: Jay Cost revisits Pittsburgh… and the barbershop [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 30 Apr 2008

At RCP, Jay Cost revisits the ongoing discussion about whether Barack Obama can win working class whites in the general election, from two different but equally interesting perspectives.

His first take on the issue circles around a look at Clinton’s primary …

April 22, 2008

If it’s Tuesday, it must be Pennsylvania [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 22 Apr 2008

Over the weekend, RCP’s Jay Cost noted that the movement in the PA polls was strikingly similar to the movement in the OH pre-primary polls.  Cost avers that past is not necessarily prologue, but notes that there are reasons …

April 16, 2008

Bittersweet Child O’ Bama [Karl]

Filed under: Uncategorized - 16 Apr 2008

Before we were unavoidably detained yesterday, the WaPo’s Chris Cillizza considered Barack Obama’s Clingy Kerfuffle by borrowing a question from Hoosier Axl Rose: “Where Do We Go Now?”

Cillizza looks at several factors which could cause Obama’s comments to become a …

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